罗京佳教授主页
罗京佳

个人信息Personal Information

教授 博士生导师 硕士生导师

教师拼音名称:luojingjia

所在单位:大气科学学院

性别:男

职称:教授

博士生导师

硕士生导师

学科:气象学

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  • 基本信息
  • 个人简介
  • 近期主要论著
  • 近期科研项目
  • 姓       名:  罗京佳

    国       籍:  澳大利亚

    性       别:  男

    职       称:  教授(国家特聘专家)

    最高学历:  博士(物理海洋学)

    所属系部:  数值预报系气候与应用前沿研究院(ICAR)院长

    研究方向:  气候动力学以及气候模式开发、预测及其应用、海洋动力学

    办公地点:  亚培楼303室

    邮       箱:  jjluo@nuist.edu.cn;jingjia_luo@hotmail.com

    主要研究领域: 热带海气相互作用、气候变化机制、全球气候模式研发、气候预测及应用、人工智能

  •    罗京佳教授,气候与应用前沿研究院(ICAR)院长,国家重大人才计划入选者,江苏省“双创人才”。2001年毕业于日本东京大学,获得物理海洋学博士学位,先后在日本海洋研究开发机构和澳大利亚气象局任职工作,2018年全职回国工作,现兼任国际CLIVAR太平洋区域委员会委员、中科院地球环境研究所国家重点实验室学术委员等长期从事热带气候年际-年代际变化、全球气候模式研发、气候预测理论和方法及应用、气候变化机制等研究。共发表学术论文120余篇,包括Nature及其子刊、Science、PNAS等国际顶级期刊,文章总引用数超过10000次,其中有30余篇文章的引用超过100次。荣获多项国内外奖励,包括日本海洋开发机构研究功绩奖日本政府教育、科技、文化、体育部青年科学家奖(日本大气和海洋学科唯一获此殊荣的外籍学者)。据不完全统计,其研究成果被电视和报纸报道共100余次,包括中国、日本、印度、英国和澳大利亚的新闻报道。主持和参与了我国、日本和澳大利亚多个科研项目,曾多次担任美国、英国和荷兰国家级研究项目评审专家,Nature, Science, PNAS30多个国际知名杂志审稿者,有着广泛的国际合作关系和影响力,与日本、澳大利亚、法国、德国、意大利、韩国、美国等众多著名科研机构保持长期的国际合作关系,例如,ICAR日本海洋研究开发机构应用实验室APL/JMASTEC)在气候和预测研究方面已签订长期合作协议,与Toshio Yamagata院士团队紧密合作,每年派遣两位博士和一位年轻教师至日本海洋研究开发机构应用实验室进修学习。


    个人主页:

    https://scholar.google.com.au/citations?hl=en&user=WT6Zn94AAAAJ&view_op=list_works&sortby=pubdate


    主要研究成果:

    1从海气和中低纬相互作用角度首次发现南太平洋对厄尔尼诺年代际变化的重要影响,提出了ENSO10年振荡的新机制此成果获日本全球变化前沿研究中心2004杰出研究奖。此成果突破了北太平洋影响ENSO年代际变化的传统观点,在国际上影响广泛,曾被CLIVARUNESCO所属IOC OOPC等国际研究组织多次引用,对于增进南太平洋的观测起了很大推进作用,得到CLIVAR西南太平洋大型国际观测项目的认可和重视,并作为其关键科学依据之一。

    2发展了有良好国际声誉的全球耦合海气环流模式(SINTEX-F模式),提出了考虑海表流场动量提高气候模拟性能的作用。此成果被国际主要的气候模式开发中心所采纳,包括德国Max-Planck气象研究所、意大利CMCC、英国、美国、澳大利亚、日本等国家的研究机构和中国科学院大气所等,有力推动了CMIP5模式的发展和模拟性能的提高,文章被IPCC AR5报告第9章引用。此外,指出了CMIP5气候模式中的普遍误差对模拟太平洋和全球气候变化的影响,还进一步发展了一个更高精度的可模拟强热带气旋的全球气候模式,用于热带气旋的形成机理和可预测性研究。

    3研制了独特的准多模式集合预测方案,利用全球海气耦合模式首次将厄尔尼诺及其全球气候异常的预测提前到2,而当时气候模式大多只能提供6个月左右的预报,受到世界气候研究项目季节预测小组的重视。对于进一步理解ENSO的物理机制及其可预测性和提高全球气候业务预测水平具有重要意义。该成果2010年获日本海洋研究开发机构研究开发功绩奖2011年获日本政府教育、科技、文化、体育部青年科学家奖

      4)全球首次提前一年成功实时预报出2006印度洋偶极子事件,并连续成功预报了200620072008年印度洋偶极子事件,引起了国际社会的广泛关注和报道。SINTEX-F模式逐月实时气候预报已成为许多国家业务预报中心(包括国家气候中心等)、研究机构、澳大利亚政府和农场主们的决策依据之一,并参加了韩国APEC Climate Center和美国IRI的多模式集合气候预测试验,同时还被放在美国哥伦比亚大学IRI数据库里作为其国际培训材料。

    5揭示了厄尔尼诺和印度洋偶极子之间的内在反馈机制及其预测意义,推动解决长期困扰国际学术界关于这两个气候模态是否相互独立的争论,同时发现印度洋偶极子对当年和次年的厄尔尼诺发生发展有较大影响

    6首次提出大洋间相互作用对全背景下热带太平洋气候变化以及全球增暖速率的影响。方面成果在国际上的影响较大,文章被IPCC AR5报告第12章引用。

    7)利用人工智能机器深度学习方法在厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)预测研究领域取得重要进展。罗京佳教授与韩国科学家合作,利用人工智能机器深度学习方法将ENSO指数预测时效提前到一年半,并达到80%左右的预测准确率。而且可以预测海表温度异常的不同空间分布,对不同厄尔尼诺类型(东太平洋型、中太平洋型、混合型)预测也有较高的正确率,弥补了目前动力预测系统的不足。

    8已成功研制南信大气候预测系统(NUIST-CFS1.0),于20191月开始提供逐月滚动更新的未来2年的气候预测产品定期参加国家气候中心、国家海洋环境预报中心、华东和东北区域气候预测会商,并给北京、华中和华南区域气候中心提供实时预测信息基于此季节-年际预测产品,将进一步深化与国内外科研机构的合作,与南信大自动化学院和海洋学院、清华大学、同济大学等单位合作利用机器深度学习和数据流归因分析方法开展气候预测和机理研究,进行动力模式降尺度研究和人工智能模式偏差订正模型研发。


    教育经历:

    (1) 1997-102001-03, 日本东京大学, 地球行星科学系, 博士, 导师:Toshio Yamagata

          (2) 1993-091996-06, 南京气象学院, 气象系, 硕士, 导师:何金海

    (3) 1986-091990-06, 南昌气象学校, 气象观测


    工作经历:

    (1) 2018-07至现在, 南京信息工程大学, 大气科学学院, 教授, 气候与应用前沿研究院院长

    (2) 2011-102018-07, 澳大利亚气象局, 天气-气候研究中心, Senior Scientist

    (3) 2008-042011-10, 日本海洋科技开发机构, 全球变化前沿研究中心, Senior Scientist 

    (4) 2004-042008-03, 日本海洋科技开发机构, 全球变化前沿研究中心, Research scientist

    (5) 2001-042004-03, 日本海洋科技开发机构, 博士后, 导师Toshio Yamagata

    (6) 1996-091997-10, 南京气象学院, 气象系, 讲师

    (7) 1990-091993-08, 陕西省西安市气象局, 气象观测站, 观测


    学术兼职:

    国际CLIVAR太平洋区域委员会委员,

    中科院地球环境研究所国家重点实验室学术委员

    American Geophysical Union 会员,

    the Oceanographic Society of Japan 会员, 

    Open Oceanography Journal 编委,

    International Journal of Atmospheric Science 编委

    Earth Science 编委,

    Frontiers in Atmospheric Science 副主编,

    Austin Journal of Earth Science 编委,

    Science Publishing Group 编委,

    Journal of Marine Science and Engineering 编委,

    Victorian Life Sciences Computation Initiative 审委委员, 

    CAWCR and WfO Ocean Modelling Working Group 审委委员,

    The Australian National Computational Merit Allocation Scheme (NCMAS) Committee 委员,

    State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Chinese Academy of Science 第五、六届学术委员会海外成员, 

    Unified Model Maritime Continent Progress Evaluation Group 主席。


    荣誉获奖: 

    2019年  江苏省双创人才

    2018年  国家重大人才计划

    2011年4月 日本政府教育、科技、文化、体育部 青年科学家奖

    2010年4月 日本海洋研究开发机构 研究开发功绩奖

    2004年3月 日本海洋研究开发机构 全球变化前沿研究中心 杰出研究奖

    1997年10月~2001年3月 日本文部省国费奖学金

    1997年2月 中国科学院大气物理所“学笃风正”奖

  • 2020年文章列表:

    • Wahiduzzaman, M., A. Yeasmin, J.-J. Luo, 2020: Seasonal movement prediction of tropical cyclone over the North Indian Ocean by using atmospheric climate variables in statistical models. Atmospheric Research, 245, 105089, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105089

    • Wahiduzzaman, M., A. Yeasmin, J.-J. Luo, M. A. Ali, Z. Qiu, 2020: Statistical approach to observe the atmospheric density variations using swarm satellite data. Atmosphere, 11(9), 897. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11090897

    • Wen, Na; Li, Laurent; Luo, Jing-Jia; 2020: Direct impacts of different types of El Nino in developing summer on East Asian precipitation. Climate Dynamics, 55, 1087-1104.   https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05315-1  

    •  Li, Y., A. Sen Gupta, A. S. Taschetto, N. C. Jourdain, A. Di Luca, J. M. Done, J.‑J. Luo*, 2020: Assessing the role of the ocean–atmosphere coupling frequency in the western Maritime Continent rainfall. Clim. Dyn., 54, 4935-4952. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05266-7

    • Feng, P., B. Wang, J.-J. Luo, D. L. Liu, C. Waters, F. Ji, H. Ruan, D. Xiao, L. Shi, and Q. Yu, 2020: Using large-scale climate drivers to forecast meteorological drought condition in growing season across the Australian wheatbelt. Science of The Total Environment, 724, 138162. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138162  

    • Xue, J., J.-J. Luo*, C. Yuan, and T. Yamagata, 2020: Discovery of Chile Niño/Niña. Geophys. Res. Let., 47, 5: e2019GL086468. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086468

    • Wahiduzzaman, M. and J.-J. Luo*, 2020: A statistical analysis on the contribution of El Niño–Southern Oscillation to the rainfall and temperature over Bangladesh. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-020-00733-6

    • Ren, H.-L., F. Zheng, J.-J. Luo, R. Wang, M. Liu, W. Zhang, T. Zhou, and G. Zhou, 2020: A review of research on tropical air–sea interaction, ENSO dynamics and prediction in China. J. Meteor. Res., 34, 43-62. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-020-9155-1

    • Wahiduzzaman, MD, E. C. J. Oliver, S. J. Wotherspoon, and J.-J. Luo*, 2020: Seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclones in the North Indian Ocean region: The role of El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Climate Dyn., 54, 1571-1589. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-05075-7

    • Akter, N., Md Wahiduzzaman, A. Yeasmin, K. Saiful Islam, and J.-J. Luo*, 2020: Spatial modelling of bacterial diversity over the selected regions in Bangladesh by next-generation sequencing: Role of water temperature. Appl. Sci., 10, 2537.  


    2019年文章列表:

    • Chen, L., and J.-J. Luo, 2019: [Tropics] Indian Ocean Dipole [in “State of the climate in 2018”]. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc., 100, s138-s140.

    • Hu, L., J.-J. Luo*, G. Huang, and M. C. Wheeler, 2019: Synoptic features responsible for Heat waves in Central-Africa, a region with strong multi-decadal trend. J. Climate, 32 (22), 7951-7970.

    • Ham, Y.-G., J.-H. Kim, and J.-J. Luo, 2019: Deep Learning for multi-year ENSO forecasts. Nature, 573, 568-572.  https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-019-1559-7.

    • Yuan, C., J. Liu, J.-J. Luo, and Z. Guan, 2019: Influences of tropical Indian and Pacific oceans on the interannual variations of precipitation in the early and late rainy seasons in South China. J. Climate, 32 (12), 3681-3694. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0588.1

    • Zhang, C., J.-J. Luo*, and S. Li, 2019: Impacts of tropical Indian and Atlantic Ocean warming on the occurrence of the 2017/18 La Niña. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46 , 3435-3445. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082280.

    • Cai, W., L. Wu, M. Lengaigne, T. Li, S. McGregor, J.-S. Kug, J.-Y. Yu, M. F. Stuecker, A. Santoso, X. Li, Y.-G. Ham, Y. Chikamoto, B. Ng, M. J. McPhaden, Y. Du, D. Dommenget, F. Jia, J. B. Kajtar, N. Keenlyside, X. Lin, J.-J. Luo, M. Martín-Rey, Y. Ruprich-Robert, G. Wang, S.-P. Xie, Y. Yang, S. M. Kang, J.-Y. Choi, B. Gan, G.-Il Kim, C.-E. Kim, S. Kim, J.-H. Kim, P. Chang, 2019: Pan-tropical climate interactions. Science, 363, eaav4236. 

    • Liu, J., H. Xu, J.-J. Luo, and J. Deng, 2019: Distinctive evolutions of Eurasian warming and extreme events before and after global warming would stabilize at 1.5℃. Earth's Future, 7, 151-161. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF001093

    • Santoso, A., H. Hendon, A. Watkins, S. Power, D. Dommenget, M. England, L. Frankcombe, N. Holbrook, R. Holmes, P. Hope, E.-P. Lim, J.-J. Luo, S. McGregor, S. Neske, H. Nguyen, A. Pepler, H. Rashid, A. S. Gupta, A. S. Taschetto, G. Wang, E. Abellán, A. Sullivan, M. Huguenin, F. Gamble, and F. Delage, 2019: Dynamics and predictability of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation: An Australian perspective on progress and challenges. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc., 100, 403-420. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0057.1


    2018年文章列表:

    • Timmerman, A., S.-I. An, J.-S. Kug, F.-F. Jin, W. Cai, A. Capotondi, K. Cobb, M. Lengaigne, M. J. McPhaden, M. F., Stuecker, K. Stein , A. T. Wittenberg, K.-S. Yun, T. Bayr, H.-C. Chen, Y. Chikamoto, B. Dewitte, D. Dommenget, P. Grothe, E. Guilyardi, Y.-G. Ham, M. Hayashi, S. Ineson, D. Kang, S. Kim, W. Kim, J.-Y. Lee, T. Li, J.-J. Luo, S. McGregor , Y. Planton, S. Power, H. Rashid, H.-L. Ren, A. Santoso, K. Takahashi, A. Todd, G. Wang, G. Wang, R. Xie, W.-H. Yang, S.-W. Yeh, J. Yoon, E. Zeller, X. Zhang, 2018: El Niño-Southern Oscillation Complexity. Nature, 559, 535-545.

    • Luo, J.-J., 2018: [Tropics] Indian Ocean Dipole [in “State of the climate in 2017”]. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc., 99 (8), S132-S135.

    • Hudson, D., Alves, O., Hendon, H.H., Lim, E., Liu, G., Luo, J.-J., MacLachlan, C., Marshall, A.G., Shi, L., Wang, G., Wedd, R., Young, G., Zhao, M., Zhou X. 2018: ACCESS-S1:  The new Bureau of Meteorology multi-week to seasonal prediction system. Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 67:3 132-159 doi: 10.22499/3.6703.001.

    • Li, C., J.-J. Luo*, S.-L. Li, O. Alves, H. Hendon, and C. MacLachlan, 2018: Multi-model prediction skill of the Somali and Maritime Continent cross-equatorial flows. J. Climate, 31 (6), 2445-2464.

    • Luo, J.-J., G. Wang, and D. Dommenget, 2018: May common model biases reduce CMIP5’s ability to simulate the recent Pacific La Niña-like cooling?  Climate Dynamics, 50, 1335-1351, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3688-8, https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-017-3688-8.


    2017年文章列表:

    • Yao, S.-L., J.-J. Luo*, G. Huang, and P. Wang, 2017: Distinct global warming rates tied to multiple ocean surface temperature changes. Nature Climate change, 7, 486–491, doi:10.1038/nclimate3304.  

    • Zhu, F., C. Lan, Y. Zhang, J.-J. Luo, D. P. Lettenmaier, Y. Lin, and Z. Liu, 2017: Spatiotemporal variation of annual shallow soil temperature on the Tibetan Plateau during 1983–2013. Climate Dynamics, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-4008-z.

    • Luo, J.-J., 2017: [Tropics] Indian Ocean Dipole [in “State of the climate in 2016”]. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc., 98 (8), S126-S128.

    • Luo, J.-J., G. Liu, H. Hendon, O. Alves, and T. Yamagata, 2017: Inter-basin sources for two-year predictability of the multi-year La Niña event in 2010-2012. Scientific Reports, 7 (1), 2276, doi:10.1038/s41598-017-01479-9. 

    • Li, C., J.-J. Luo*, and S.-L. Li, 2017: Impacts of different types of ENSO on the interannual seesaw between the Somali and the Maritime Continent cross-equatorial flows. J. Climate, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0521.1.


    2016年文章列表:

    • Luo, J.-J., 2016: [Tropics] Indian Ocean Dipole [in “State of the climate in 2015”]. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc., 97, s124-s126

    • Sullivan, A., J.-J. Luo*, A. C. Hirst, D. Bi, W. Cai, and J. He, 2016: Robust contribution of decadal anomalies to the frequency of central-Pacific El Niño. Scientific Reports 6, 38540, doi:10.1038/srep38540.

    • Haarsma, R., M. Roberts, P. L. Vidale, C. Senior, A. Bellucci, S. Corti, N. Fuckar, V. Guemas, J. von Hardenberg, W. Hazeleger, C. Kodama, T. Koenigk, R. Leung, J. Lu, J.-J. Luo, J. Mao, M. Mizielinsky, R. Mizuta, P. Nobre, M. Satoh, E. Scoccimarro, T. Semmler, J. Small, and J.-S. von Storch, 2016: High Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMIP v1.0) for CMIP6. submitted to Special Issue: Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) Experimental Design and Organization, Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 4185–4208, 2016, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-4185-2016.

    • Yao, S., J.-J. Luo, and G. Huang, 2016: Internal variability-generated uncertainty in East Asian climate projections estimated with 40 CCSM3 ensembles. PLOS ONE, 11, e0149968, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0149968.

    • Luo, J.-J., J.-Y. Lee, C. Yuan, W. Sasaki, S. Masson, S. Behera, Y. Masumoto, and T. Yamagata, 2016: Current status of intraseasonal-seasonal-to-interannual prediction of the Indo-Pacific climate. Chapter 3 in Indo-Pacific Climate Variability and Predictability (eds. Yamagata, T. and S. Behera), World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate, Vol 7, the World Scientific Publisher, pp 63-107, http://www.worldscientific.com/worldscibooks/10.1142/9664.

    • Iizumi, T., H. Sakuma, M. Yokozawa, H. Sakuma, J.-J. Luo, A. J. Challinor, G. Sakurai, and T. Yamagata, 2016: Characterizing the reliability of global crop prediction based on seasonal climate forecasts. Chapter 10 in Indo-Pacific Climate Variability and Predictability (eds. Yamagata, T. and S. Behera), World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate, Vol 7, the World Scientific Publisher, pp 281-304, doi: 10.1142/9789814696623_0010.

    • Hidayat, R., K. Ando, Y. Masumoto, and J.-J. Luo, 2016: Interannual Variability of Rainfall over Indonesia: Impacts of ENSO and IOD and Their Predictability. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 31 (1), doi:10.1088/1755-1315/31/1/012043.


    2015年文章列表:

    • Hendon, H. H., M. Zhao, A. Marshall, E.-P. Lim, J-J. Luo, O. Alves, and C. MacLachlan, 2015: Comparison of GLOSEA5 and POAMA2.4 Hindcasts 1996-2009. Bureau Research Report No. 011, Dec 2015.

    • Zhou, X., J.-J. Luo, O. Alves and H. Hendon, 2015: Comparison of GloSea5 and POAMA2.4 Hindcasts 1996-2009: Ocean Focus. Bureau Research Report No. 010, Dec 2015.

    • Luo, J.-J., 2015: [Tropics] Indian Ocean Dipole [in “State of the climate in 2014”]. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc., 96, s124-s126.

    • Chikamoto, Y., A. Timmermann, J.-J. Luo, T. Mochizuki, M. Kimoto, M. Watanabe, M. Ishii; S.-P. Xie, and F.-F. Jin, 2015: Skillful multi-year predictions of tropical trans-basin climate variability. Nature Communications, 6, doi: 10.1038/ncomms7869, published online.

    • Rotstayn, L., C. Mark, and Luo J.-J., 2015: Effects of declining aerosols on projections of zonally averaged tropical precipitation. Environ. Res. Lett., 10 (4), doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/4/044018.

    • Chowdary, J. S., A. B. Bandgar, C. Gnanaseelan, and J.-J. Luo, 2015: Role of tropical Indian Ocean air-sea interactions in modulating Indian summer monsoon in a coupled model. Atmospheric Science Letters, 16 (2), 170-176, DOI: 10.1002/asl2.561. 


    2014年文章列表:

    • Iizumi, T., J.-J. Luo, A. J. Challinor, G. Sakurai, M. Yokozawa, H. Sakuma, M. E. Brown, and T. Yamagata, 2014: Impacts of ENSO on the global yields of major crops. Nature Communications, 5, DOI:10.1038/ncomms4712, published online. 

    • Chakravorty, S., C. Gnanaseelan, J. S. Chowdary, and J.-J. Luo, 2014: Relative role of El Niño and IOD forcing on the southern tropical Indian Ocean Rossby waves. JGR-Oceans, 119 (8), 5105-5122, DOI:10.1002/2013JC009713.

    • Rotstayn, L., E. Plymin, M. Collier, O. Boucher, J.-L. Dufresne, J.-J. Luo, K. von Salzen, S. Jeffrey, M.-Al. Foujols, Y. Ming, L. Horowitz, 2014: Declining aerosols in CMIP5 projections: effects on atmospheric temperature structure and midlatitude jets. J. Climate, 27, 6960–6977, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00258.1. 

    • Luo, J.-J., 2014: [Tropics] Indian Ocean Dipole [in “State of the climate in 2013”]. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc., 95, S109-S111.

    • Malherbe, J., W. A. Landman, C. Oliver, H. Sakuma, and J.-J. Luo, 2014: Seasonal forecasts of the SINTEX-F coupled model applied to maize yield and streamflow estimates over north-eastern South Africa. Meteorological Applications, 21, 733-742, DOI: 10.1002/met.1402.

    • Nair, A., U. C. Mohanty, A. W. Robertson, T.C. Panda, J.-J. Luo, and T. Yamagata, 2014: An analytical study of hindcasts from general circulation models for Indian summer monsoon rainfall. Meteorological Applications, 21, 695-707, DOI: 10.1002/met.1395. 

    • Chowdary, J. S., J.-Y. Lee, Y. Kosaka, J.-J. Luo, C. Gnanaseelan, 2014: Seasonal anomalies prediction in the summer 2010 over the tropical Indian Ocean and South Asia. J. Meteor. Soc. Jpn., 92, 1-16, DOI:10.2151/jmsj.2014-101

    • Yuan, C., T. Tozuka, J.-J. Luo, and T. Yamagata, 2014: Predictability of the subtropical dipole modes in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. Climate Dynamics, 42, 1291-1308, DOI 10.1007/s00382-013-1704-1.

    • Izumo, T. M. Lengaigne, J. Vialard, J.-J. Luo, T. Yamagata, and G. Madec, 2014: Influence of Indian Ocean Dipole and Pacific recharge on following year’s El Nino: interdecadal robustness. Climate Dynamics, 42, 291-310, DOI 10.1007/s00382-012-1628-1. 

    • Jia, X.-L., L.-J. Chen, and J.-J. Luo, 2014: Climate prediction experiment for tropical cyclone genesis frequency using the large-scale circulation forecast by a coupled global circulation model. J. Tropical Meteorology, 20 (2), 103-111.


    2013年文章列表:

    • Rotstayn L. D., M. A. Collier, A. Chrastansky, S. J. Jeffrey, and J.-J. Luo, 2013: Projected effects of declining aerosols in RCP4.5: Unmasking global warming? Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 10883–10905, doi:10.5194/acp-13-10883-2013.

    • Iizumi, T., H. Sakuma, M. Yokozawa, J.-J. Luo, A. J. Challinor, M. E. Brown, G. Sakurai, and T. Yamagata, 2013: Prediction of seasonal climate-induced variations in global food production. Nature Climate Change, 3, 904-908, DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1945, featured.

    • Ratnam, J. V., S. K. Behera, S. B. Ratna, H. Rautenbach, C. Lennard, J.-J. Luo, Y. Masumoto, K. Takahashi, and T. Yamagata, 2013: Dynamical downscaling of austral summer climate forecasts over southern Africa using a simple regional coupled model. Journal of Climate, 26, 6015-6032, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00645.1.

    • Luo, J.-J., 2013: [Tropics] Indian Ocean Dipole [in “State of the climate in 2012”]. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc., 94(8), S105-S108.

    • Liu, P., T. Li, B. Wang, M. Zhang, J.-J. Luo, Y. Masumoto, K. R. Sperber, X. Wang, and E. Roeckner, 2013: MJO change with A1B global warming estimated by the 40-km ECHAM5. Climate Dynamics, 41, 1009-1023, DOI 10.1007/s00382-012-1532-8.

    • Sasaki, W., K. J. Richards, and J.-J. Luo, 2013: Impact of vertical mixing induced by small vertical scale structures above and within the equatorial thermocline on the tropical Pacific in a CGCM. Climate Dynamics, 41, 443–453, DOI 10.1007/s00382-012-1593-8. 

    • Nagura, M., W. Sasaki, T. Tozuka, J.-J. Luo, S. K. Behera, and T. Yamagata, 2013: Longitudinal biases in the Seychelles Dome simulated by 35 ocean-atmosphere coupled general circulation models. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 188, 1–16, doi:10.1029/2012JC008352.


    2012年文章列表:

    • Sasaki, W., K. J. Richards, and J.-J. Luo, 2012: Role of vertical mixing originating from small vertical scale structures above and within the equatorial thermocline in an OGCM. Ocean modelling, 57-58, 29-42, doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.09.002.

    • Shi, L., H. H. Hendon, O. Alves, J.-J. Luo, M. Balmaseda, and D. Anderson, 2012: How predictable is the Indian Ocean Dipole? Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 3867-3884.

    • Luo, J.-J., W. Sasaki, and Y. Masumoto, 2012: Indian Ocean warming modulates Pacific climate change. PNAS,109, 18701-18706, www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1210239109.

    • Morioka, Y., T. Tozuka, S. Masson, P. Terray, J.-J. Luo, and T. Yamagata, 2012: Subtropical dipole modes simulated in a coupled general circulation model. J. Climate, 25(12), 4029-4047.

    • Sasaki, W., J.-J. Luo, and S. Masson, 2012: Tropical cyclone simulation in a high-resolution atmosphere-ocean coupled general circulation model, Chapter 9 in Cyclones: Formation, Triggers and Control, edited by K. Oouchi and H. Fudeyasu, Nova Science Publishers, Hauppauge, New York, pp. 197-220.

    • Masson, S., P. Terray, G. Madec, J.-J. Luo, T. Yamagata, and K. Takahashi, 2012: Impact of intra-daily SST variability on ENSO characteristics in a coupled model. Climate Dynamics, 39, 681-707, DOI 10.1007/s00382-011-1247-2.

    • Terray, P., K. Kakitha, S. Masson, G. Madec, A. K. Sahai, J.-J. Luo, and Toshio Yamagata, 2012: The role of the intra-daily SST variability in the Indian Monsoon variability and monsoon-ENSO-IOD relationships in a global coupled model. Climate Dynamics, 39, 729-754, DOI 10.1007/s00382-011-1240-9.

    • Jeong, H.-I., D. Y. Lee, K. Ashok, J.-B. Ahn, J.-Y. Lee, J.-J. Luo, J.-K. E. Schemm, H. Hendon, K. Braganza, and Y.-G. Ham, 2012: Assessment of the APCC coupled MME suite in predicting the distinctive climate impacts of two flavors of ENSO during boreal winter. Climate Dynamics, 39, 475–493, DOI 10.1007/s00382-012-1359-3.

    • Luo, J.-J., 2012: [Tropics] Indian Ocean Dipole [in “State of the climate in 2011”]. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc., 93 (7), S121-S123.

    • Joseph, S., A. K. Sahai, B. N. Goswami, P. Terray, S. Masson, and J.-J. Luo, 2012: Possible role of warm SST bias in the simulation of boreal summer monsoon in SINTEX-F2 coupled model. Climate Dynamics, 38, 1561-1576, DOI 10.1007/s00382-011-1264-1.

    • Kulkarni, M. A., N. Acharya, S. C. Kar, U. C. Mohanty, M. K. Tippett, A. W. Robertson, J.-J. Luo, and T. Yamagata, 2012: Probabilistic prediction of Indian summer monsoon rainfall using global climate models. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 107, 441-450.

    • Hsu, P.-C., T. Li, J.-J. Luo, H. Murakami, A. Kitoh, and M. Zhao, 2012: Increase of global monsoon area and precipitation under global warming: A robust signal? Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L06701,doi:10.1029/2012GL051037.


    2011年文章列表:

    • Lin, A., T. Li, X. Fu, J.-J. Luo, and Y. Masumoto, 2011: Effects of air-sea coupling on the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillations over the tropical Indian Ocean. Climate Dynamics, 37, 2303-2322, DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0943-7.

    • Luo, J.-J., 2011: Ocean dynamics not required? Nature, 477, 544-546.

    • Ajayamohan, R. S., H. Annamalai, J.-J. Luo, J. Hafner, and T. Yamagata, 2011: Poleward propagation of boreal summer intraseasonal oscillations: role of internal processes. Climate Dynamics, 37, 851–867, DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0839-6.

    • An, Z., S. Clemens, J. Shen, X. Qiang, Z. Jin, Y. Sun, W. Prell, J.-J. Luo, S. Wang, H. Xu, Y. Cai, W. Zhou, W. Liu, Z. Shi, L. Yan, X. Xiao, H. Chang, F. Wu, L. Ai, and F. Lu, 2011: Glacial-interglacial Indian summer monsoon dynamics. Science, 333, 719-723.

    • Luo, J.-J., 2011: Indian Ocean Dipole [in “State of the climate in 2010]. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc., 92, S138-S140.

    • Luo, J.-J., S. Behera, Y. Masumoto, and T. Yamagata, 2011: Impact of global ocean surface warming on seasonal-to-interannual climate prediction. J. Climate, 24, 1626-1646.

    • Feng, L., T. Zhou, B. Wu, T. Li, and J.-J. Luo, 2011: Projection of future precipitation change over China with a high-resolution global atmospheric model. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 28, 464-476.

    • Chowdary, J. S., S.-P. Xie, J.-J. Luo, J. Hafner, S. Behera,Y. Masumoto, and T. Yamagata, 2011: Predictability of Northwest Pacific climate during summer and the role of the Tropical Indian Ocean. Climate Dynamics, 36, 607-621.


    2010年文章列表:

    • Li, T., M. Kwon, M. Zhao, J.-S. Kug, J.-J. Luo, and W. Yu, 2010: Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L21804, doi:10.1029/2010GL045124.

    • Lee, J.-Y., B. Wang, I.-S. Kang, J. Shukla, A. Kumar, J.-S. Kug, J. K. E. Schemm, J.-J. Luo, T. Yamagata, X. Fu, O. Alves, B. Stern, T. Rosati, and C.-K. Park, 2010: How are seasonal prediction skills related to models’ performance on mean state and annual cycle? Climate Dynamics, 35, 267–283, DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0857-4.

    • Luo, J.-J., 2010: Indian Ocean Dipole [in “State of the climate in 2009]. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc., 91, S103-S105.

    • Zhu, W., T. Li, X. Fu, and J.-J. Luo, 2010: Influence of the Maritime Continent on the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation. J. Meteor. Soc. Jpn., 88 (3), 395-407.

    • Izumo, T., J. Vialard, M. Lengaigne, C. Boyer Montegut, S. K. Behera, J.-J. Luo, S. Cravatte, S. Masson, and T.Yamagata, 2010: Influence of the state of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the following year's El Niño. Nature Geoscience, 3, 168-172.

    • Luo, J.-J., R. Zhang, S. Behera, Y. Masumoto, F.-F. Jin, R. Lukas, and T. Yamagata, 2010: Interaction between El Niño and extreme Indian Ocean Dipole. J. Climate, 23(3), 726-742. 


    2009年文章列表:

    • Lin, A., T. Li, X. Fu, and J.-J. Luo, 2009: Impact of air-sea interactions over the Indian Ocean on the climatological state of tropical atmospheric circulation in boreal summer. Chinese J. Atmos. Sci., 33(6), 1123-1136 (in Chinese).

    • Rao, S. A., J.-J. Luo, S. K. Behera, and T. Yamagata, 2009: Generation and termination of Indian Ocean Dipole events in 2003, 2006 and 2007. Climate Dynamics, 33, 751-767.

    • Luo, J.-J., 2009: Indian Ocean Dipole [in “State of the climate in 2008”]. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc., 90, S92-S94.

    • Kug, J.-S., K. P. Sooraj, F.-F. Jin, and J.-J. Luo, 2009: Impact of Indian Ocean Dipole on fast atmospheric variability over the Indian Ocean. Atmospheric Research, 94, 134-139, DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2008.10.022.

    • Ajayamohan, R. S., S. A. Rao, J.-J. Luo, and T. Yamagata, 2009: Influence of Indian Ocean Dipole on boreal summer intraseasonal oscillations in a coupled general circulation model. JGR-Atmosphere, 114, D06119, doi:10.1029/2008JD011096.

    • Wang, B., et al., 2009: Advance and prospectus of seasonal prediction: assessment of the APCC/CliPAS 14-model ensemble retrospective seasonal prediction (1980-2004). Climate Dynamics, 33, 93–117, DOI:10.1007/s00382-008-0460-0.


    2008年文章列表:

    • Luo, J.-J., and G. D. Bell, 2008: Indian Ocean Dipole [in “State of the climate in 2007”]. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc., 89, S81-S83.

    • Behera, S., J.-J. Luo, and T. Yamagata, 2008: The Unusual IOD Event of 2007. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L14S11, doi:10.1029/2008GL034122.

    • Luo, J.-J., S. Behera, Y. Masumoto, H. Sakuma, and T. Yamagata, 2008: Successful prediction of the consecutive IOD in 2006 and 2007. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L14S02, doi:10.1029/2007GL032793. (AGU journal highlight)

    • Hong, C.-C., T. Li, and J.-J. Luo, 2008: Asymmetry of the Indian Ocean Dipole. Part II: Model diagnosis. J. Climate, 21, 4849-4858.

    • Tozuka, T., J.-J. Luo, S. Masson, and T. Yamagata, 2008: Tropical Indian Ocean variability revealed by self-organizing maps. Climate Dynamics, 31, 333-343.

    • Jin, E. K., et al., 2008: Current status of ENSO prediction skill in coupled ocean-atmosphere models. Climate Dynamics, 31, 647-664.

    • Izumo, T., C. Montegut, J.-J. Luo, S. Behera, S. Masson, and T. Yamagata, 2008: The role of the western Arabian Sea upwelling in Indian monsoon rainfall variability. J. Climate, 21, 5603-5623.

    • Wang, B., J.-Y. Lee, I.-S. Kang, J. Shukla, J.-S. Kug, A. Kumar, J. Schemm, J-J. Luo, T. Yamagata, and C.-K. Park, 2008: How accurately do coupled climate models predict the Asian-Australia monsoon interannual variability? Climate Dynamics, 31, 605-619.

    • Navarra, A., S. Gualdi, S. Masina, S. Behera, J.-J. Luo, S. Masson, E. Guilyardi, P. Delecluse, and T. Yamagata, 2008: Atmospheric horizontal resolution affects tropical climate variability in coupled models. J. Climate, 21, 730-750.

    • Luo, J.-J., S. Masson, S. Behera, and T. Yamagata, 2008: Extended ENSO predictions using a fully coupled ocean-atmosphere model. J. Climate, 21, 84-93.




    2007年文章列表:

    • Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, M. Esch, N. Keenlyside, L. Kornblueh, J.-J. Luo, and T. Yamagata, 2007: How may tropical cyclones change in a warmer climate? Tellus, 59A, 539-561.

    • Tozuka, T., J.-J. Luo, S. Masson, and T. Yamagata, 2007: Seasonally stratified analysis of simulated ocean thermodynamics. J. Climate, 20, 4615-4627.

    • Luo, J.-J., S. Masson, S. Behera, and T. Yamagata, 2007: Experimental forecasts of Indian Ocean dipole using a coupled OAGCM. J. Climate, 20, 2178-2190.

    • Rao, S. A., S. Masson, J.-J. Luo, S. K. Behera, and T. Yamagata, 2007: Termination of Indian Ocean Dipole events in a coupled general circulation model. J. Climate, 20, 3018-3035.

    • Cherchi, A., S. Gualdi, S. Behera, J.-J. Luo, S. Masson, T. Yamagata, and A. Navarra, 2007: The influence of Tropical Indian Ocean SST on the Indian summer monsoon. J. Climate, 20, 3083-3105.

    • Qin, Z.-K., Z.-B. Sun, Z.-H. Lin, H. Chen, and J.-J. Luo, 2007: Evaluation on potential predictability of summer climate over East Asia by an air-sea coupled model. Climatic and Environmental Research, 12(3), 232-244 (in Chinese).

    • Tozuka, T., J.-J. Luo, S. Masson and T. Yamagata, 2007: Decadal modulations of the Indian Ocean dipole in the SINTEX-F1 coupled GCM. J. Climate, 20, 2881-2894.


    2006年文章列表:

    • Behera, K. S., J.-J. Luo, S. Masson, S. A. Rao, H. Sakuma, and T. Yamagata, 2006: A CGCM study on the interaction between IOD and ENSO. J. Climate, 19, 1688-1705.

    • Kug, J.-S., T. Li, S.-I1 An, I.-S. Kang, J.-J. Luo, S. Masson, and T. Yamagata, 2006: Role of the ENSO-Indian Ocean coupling on ENSO variability in a coupled GCM. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L09710, doi: 10.1029/2005GL024916.

    • Jungclaus, J. H., M. Botzet, H. Haak, N. Keenlyside, J.-J. Luo, M. Latif, J. Marotzke, U. Mikolajewicz, and E. Roeckner, 2006: Ocean circulation and tropical variability in the coupled model ECHAM5/MPI-OM. J. Climate, 19, 3952-3972.


    2005年文章列表:

    • Behera, S., J.-J. Luo, S. Masson, P. Delecluse, S. Gualdi, A. Navarra, and T. Yamagata, 2005: Paramount impact of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the East African Short Rains: A CGCM study. J. Climate, 18, 4514-4530.

    • Luo, J.-J., S. Masson, S. Behera, S. Shingu, and T. Yamagata, 2005: Seasonal climate predictability in a coupled OAGCM using a different approach for ensemble forecasts. J. Climate, 18, 4474-4497.

    • Luo, J.-J., S. Masson, E. Roeckner, G. Madec, and T. Yamagata, 2005: Reducing climatology bias in an ocean-atmosphere CGCM with improved coupling physics. J. Climate, 18, 2344-2360.

    • Masson, S., J.-J. Luo, G. Madec, J. Vialard, F. Durand, S. Gualdi, E. Guilyardi, S. Behera, P. Delecluse, A. Navarra, T. Yamagata, 2005: Impact of barrier layer on winter-spring variability of the southeastern Arabian Sea. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L07703, doi:10.1029/2004GL021980.

    • Tozuka, T., J.-J. Luo, S. Masson, S. Behera, and T. Yamagata, 2005: Annual ENSO simulated in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 39, 41-60.


    2004年年及以前文章列表:

    • Yamagata, T., S. Behera, J.-J. Luo, S. Masson, M. Jury, and S. A. Rao, 2004: Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability in the tropical Indian Ocean. Earth's Climate: The Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction. Geophys. Monogr. 147, Amer. Geophys. Union, 189-212.

    • Luo, J.-J., S. Masson, S. Behera, S. Gualdi, A. Navarra, P. Delecluse, and T. Yamagata, 2003: South Pacific origin of the decadal ENSO-like variation as simulated by a coupled GCM. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(24), 2250, doi:10.1029/2003GL018649.

    • Luo, J.-J., and T. Yamagata, 2003: A model study on the 1988/89 warming event in the northern North Pacific. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 33, 1815-1828.

    • Luo, J.-J., and T. Yamagata, 2002: Four decadal ocean-atmosphere modes in the North Pacific revealed by various analysis methods. J. Oceanogr., 58, 861-876.

    • Luo, J.-J., and T. Yamagata, 2001: Long-term El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-like variation with special emphasis on the South Pacific. J. Geophys. Res., 106, C10, 22211-22227.

    • Luo, J.-J., and L. Jameson, 2002: A wavelet-based technique for identifying, labeling, and tracking of ocean eddies. J. Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 19, 381-390.

    • Luo, J.-J., and J. He, 1997: Asian summer monsoon establishment and South China Sea monsoon onset features with the causes explored. J. Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, 20, 293-300 (in Chinese).

    • Wen, M., J.-J. Luo, and J. He, 1997: Air-sea interaction in dry and wet years. J. Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, 20, 341-347 (in Chinese).

  • 在研科研项目:

    • 2021-2025 国家自然科学基金基础科学中心项目,气候系统预测研究中心,项目骨干

    • 2020-11至2025-04 科技部国家重点研发计划项目,大数据与深度学习方法创新地球系统模式发展及应用研究,项目负责人

    • 2021-2025年 国家自然科学基金重点项目,ENSO和印度洋偶极子的季节-年际可预测性及多时空尺度信号的影响,主持

    • 2019-2021年 江苏省双创个人项目,热带太平洋和印度洋气候季节-年际可预测性研究,主持

    • 2018-2021Multi-year drought prediction (Northern Australian Climate Prediction)Project leader

    • 与北京市气候中心,上海市气候中心、武汉区域气候中心、广东省气候中心等气象业务单位的横向项目


    已结题科研项目:

    • 2017-2018Multi-year ENSO prediction for Sydney Water basinProject science leader

    • 2014-2017Improved skill for regional climate in the ACCESS-based POAMA-3 model (澳大利亚 Grains Research & Development Corporation Project)Project investigator and sub-organizer

    • 2014-2016Global aerosol, large-scale circulation and Australian climate change (澳大利亚ACCSP project)Investigator

    • 2013-2016Decadal climate variability and predictability (澳大利亚ACCSP project)investigator

    • 2013-2016A decadal to inter-decadal streamflow prediction system (Australian Research Council grant)Investigator

    • 2013-2016Understanding the Mean Meridional Circulation (MMC) and its relevance to Victoria (澳大利亚Victoria Climate Initiative-Project)Investigator: multi-year climate prediction

    • 2012-2014ACCESS Coupled climate model development (澳大利亚ACCSP project)Co-lead of ENSO simulation and its improvement

    • 2011-2015973计划热带太平洋海洋环流与暖池的结构特征、变异机理和气候效应,海外受邀合作研究

    • 2010-2014973计划晚新生代以来我国季风-干旱环境耦合系统演变的动力学研究,作为中国科学院地球环境所客座教授参与中国古气候研究,主要是参与气候变化基本机制方面的研究

    • 2009-2014年 日本科学技术振兴机构(JST)地球规模课题和日本政府对发展中国家的国际援助项目(JICA ODA),核心参与人员,提供模式季节预报结果,研究南非地区的气候可预报性,参与发展降尺度模式和社会应用系统,参与培训南非有关机构的研究人员

    • 2009-2011年 日本学术振兴会科学研究费补助金,项目主持人, 指导博士后研究员(日本人)进行高精度气候模式开发和台风模拟



  • 团队成员Research Group

    气候与应用前沿研究院(ICAR)

    详见ICAR主页:https://icar.nuist.edu.cn/

    气候预测与应用创新团队

    团队致力于气候预测与应用研究,团队成员有:罗京佳(团队负责人)、袁潮霞(团队召集人)、温娜、张敬林、邓伟涛、闫会平、董丽娜、王祥、霍利微、薛佳庆、彭珂、吴琨、刘珊珊