徐邦琪主页
徐邦琪

个人信息Personal Information

博士生导师

教师英文名称:Hsu Pangchi

教师拼音名称:Xu Bangqi

所在单位:大气科学学院

学历:博士研究生毕业

办公地点:气象楼305室

联系方式:pangchi@nuist.edu.cn

学位:理学博士学位

主要任职:Professor

毕业院校:台湾师范大学

博士生导师

学科:大气科学

  • 基本信息
  • 个人简介
  • 近期主要论著
  • 近期科研项目
  • 姓        名 :  徐邦琪

    出生年月 :  1977年4月

    国        籍 :  中国台湾

    性        别 :  

    导        师 :  邹治华教授

    职        称 :  教授

    最高学历 :  博士

    所属专业 :  大气科学

    所属系部 :  动力气象系

    毕业院校 :  台湾师范大学

    研究方向 :  季节内振荡、尺度相互作用、次季节至季节预报

    办公地点 :  气象楼305室

    邮        箱 :  pangchi@nuist.edu.cn

    主讲课程 :  现代气候学

    研究方向和成果 : 长期致力季节内振荡动力学与延伸期预报研究,取得如下创新成果:1)揭示了季节内振荡传播和发展机制,2)明晰了季节内振荡和天气-气候系统相互作用的物理过程,3)发现了东亚灾害天气的延伸期可预报性关键来源,4)研制了多套延伸期天气预报模型,应用于国家气候中心业务系统。发表学术论文100余篇,以第一/通讯作者在Science Advances、PNAS、BAMS等期刊发表SCI论文70余篇。研究成果被高度评价为:“首次定量揭示了海洋反馈对季节内振荡发展的重要机理”、“补充完善了高频扰动影响季节内振荡的重要过程”;发表于Science Advances有关季节内振荡与南极气候遥相关的文章获选当期封面论文;PNAS论文入选ESI高被引论文;担任Journal of Climate、JMR、AOSL编委;系国家重点研发计划项目首席科学家,领衔攻关延伸期天气预报科技。

  • 教育背景:  

    2003.08-2008.06,台湾师范大学,地球科学研究所(大气科学专业),博士
    1999.08-2001.06,台湾师范大学,地球科学研究所(大气科学专业),硕士
    1995.08-1999.06,台湾师范大学,地球科学系,学士


    工作经历:  

    2013.09- 至 今 ,南京信息工程大学,大气科学学院,教授
    2012.05-2012.12,美国夏威夷大学International Pacific Research Center(IPRC)助理研究员(Research Associate)
    2012.02-2012.03,日本气象研究所气候中心,访问研究员
    2010.05-2012.04,美国夏威夷大学IPRC,博士后
    2009.01-2010.04,美国夏威夷大学IPRC,访问博士后(台湾“国科会”赴国外博士后研究奖学金资助)
    2008.07-2008.12,台湾师范大学,博士后
    2001.07-2008.06,台湾师范大学,助理研究员


    学术兼职:  

    WMO WCRP JSC member
    《Journal of Meteorological Research》&《气象学报》执行副主编
    《Journal of Climate》编委
    《SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences》&《中国科学:地球科学》编委
    《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letter》编委
    《大气科学学报》编委
    《气象科学》编委


    荣誉获奖:  

    2021,江苏省优秀博士学位论文指导老师,江苏省学位委员会
    2014,十佳全国优秀青年气象科技工作者,中国气象学会
    2014,江苏省特聘教授,江苏省教育厅
    2013,江苏省六大人才高峰,第十批高层次人才,江苏省人力资源和社会保障厅
    2009,台湾气象学会万宝康教授奖学金,台湾气象学会
    2009,台湾“国科会”赴国外博士后研究奖学金,台湾“国科会”
    2005,台湾师范大学理学院优秀研究论文奖,台湾师范大学
    2004,台湾师范大学优秀博士生奖学金,台湾师范大学
    2001,台湾大气科学研究生优秀论文金牌奖


  • 2025 & in press 

      128. Lee D., J-Y Lee, Y-M Yang, P.-C. Hsu, A-Y Lim, in press: Modulation of 10–30-day boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation and the associated rainfall events by El Niño. Adv. Atmos. Sci., DOI: 10.1007/s00376-025-4170-x

      127. Zhang W., X. Lei, G. Chen, P.-C. Hsu, F. Jiang, M. Stuecker, F-F Jin, C. Liu, in press: Tripling of MJO residence time over the rapidly warming Indian Ocean during summer monsoon. Sci. Bull., DOI: 10.1016/j.scib.2025.01.043

      126. Zhang, K., and P.-C. Hsu*, in press: Coupling of distinct tropical and extratropical intraseasonal modes triggers compound cold–wet extreme events over the Yangtze River Basin. J. Climate, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0362.1.

      125. Zhou, H., P.-C. Hsu*, L. Chen, and Y. Qian, 2025: Interannual variability of boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation over the northwestern Pacific influenced by the Pacific Meridional Mode. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 18, 100492. DOI: 10.1016/j.aosl.2024.100492

      124. 李娟, 王诚, 徐邦琪, 朱志伟, in press: 中国东部夏季季节内降水异常的经向移动分类及可能机理. 大气科学.DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2402.23144.


    2024 

      123. Chen, H., P.-C. Hsu*, and S. Hu, 2024: Role of quasi-biweekly cloud-radiative feedback in modulating and simulating extreme rainfall intensity over Asian monsoon regions. Geophys. Res. Lett., 51, e2024GL111671. DOI: 10.1029/2024GL111671

      122. Dong, X., H. Chen, Y. Zhou, P.-C. Hsu, and W. Zhang, 2024: Disentangling the complexities of how underlying surface thermal factors influence July precipitation in eastern China. J. Climate. 37, 5105–5129. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0748.1

      121. Gao, Y., and P.-C. Hsu*, 2024: Contributions of air-sea coupling to northward-propagating intraseasonal convection over the South China Sea. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 129, e2023JD039705. DOI:10.1029/2023JD039705.

      120. Hu, S., L. Wang*, X. Chen, T. Zhou, and P.-C. Hsu*, 2024: Emergent constraints on future projections of Tibetan Plateau warming in winter. Geophys. Res. Lett., 51, e2024GL108728. DOI: 10.1029/2024GL108728.

      119. Liu F., J. Zhou, B. Wang, J. C-H Leung, D. Chen, Z. Lin, I-S Kang, Q. Chao, Z. Ke, K. Fan, B. Liu, G. Huang, P.-C. Hsu, W. Dong, in press: Opportunities and barriers for skillful sub-seasonal prediction of East Asian summer precipitation. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., DOI:10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0055.1.  

      118. Murakami, H.*, W. F. Cooke, R. Mizuta, H. Endo, K. Yoshida, S. Wang, and P.-C. Hsu*, 2024: Robust future projections of global spatial distribution of major tropical cyclones and sea level pressure gradients. Commun. Earth Environ., 5, 479. DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01644-9.

      117. Qian, Y., P.-C. Hsu*, H. Murakami, G. Zhang, H. Wang, and M. Duan, 2024: Intraseasonal variability of anticyclonic Rossby wave breaking and its impact on tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific. J. Climate. 37, 179–197. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0091.1

      116. Qian, Y., P.-C. Hsu*, H. Murakami, J. Gao, H. Wang, and M. Duan, 2024: Influences of ENSO and intraseasonal oscillations on distinct tropical cyclone clusters over the western North Pacific. Clim. Dyn.62, 1861–1885. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-023-07000-5.

      115. Wei S., P.-C. Hsu*, and J. Xie, 2024: Effects of intraseasonal oscillation on timing and subseasonal predictability of Meiyu onset over the Yangtze River Basin. J. Climate. 37, 2277–2295. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0504.1

      114. Xie, J., P.-C. Hsu*, Y. Hu, H. Zhang, and M. Ye, 2024: Advancing subseasonal surface air temperature and heat wave prediction skill in China by incorporating scale interaction in a deep learning model. Geophys. Res. Lett., 51, e2024GL111076. DOI: 10.1029/2024GL111076

      113. Xie, J., P.-C. Hsu*, J.-Y. Lee, L. Wang, and A. G. Turner, 2024: Tropical intraseasonal oscillations as key driver and source of predictability for the 2022 Pakistan record-breaking rainfall event. npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 7, 256. DOI: 10.1038/s41612-024-00809-9.

      112. Zhou, B., Z. Song, Z. Yin, X. Xu, B. Sun, P.-C. Hsu, and H. Chen, 2024: Recent autumn sea ice loss in the eastern Arctic enhanced by summer Asian-Pacific Oscillation. Nat. Commun., 15, 2798. DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-47051-8

      111. Zhou, H., P.-C. Hsu*, Y. Qian, and W. Zhang, 2024: Influences of boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation on tropical cyclone genesis and intensification over the western North Pacific at the interannual timescale. Clim. Dyn., 62, 8913–8928. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-024-07370-4

      110. Zhou, X., L. Wang, P.-C. Hsu, T. Li, and B. Xiang, 2024: Understanding the factors controlling MJO prediction skill across events, J. Climate. 37, 5323–5336. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0635.1

      109. Zhu, Y., P.-C. Hsu*, and Y. Qian, 2024: Influence of Western Pacific Madden-Julian Oscillation on New York City’s Record-breaking Air Pollution in Early June 2023. Geophys. Res. Lett., 51, e2024GL109061. DOI: 10.1029/2024GL109061.

      108. 臧钰歆, 徐邦琪*, 高迎侠, 2024: 10‒20天和30‒60天低频振荡对华南前汛期持续性暴雨的影响差异及机制研究. 气象学报. 82, 137–154. DOI: 10.11676/qxxb2024.20230033

      107. 徐邦琪, 魏澎, 钱伊恬, 游立军, 2024: 西北太平洋热带气旋频次的延伸期动力-统计预报方法和评估. 大气科学学报. 47, 60–74. DOI: 10.13878/j.cnki.dqkxxb.20211101001.


    2023 

      106. Hsu, P.-C.*, J. Xie, J.-Y Lee*, Z. Zhu, Y. Li, B. Chen, and S. Zhang, 2023: Multiscale interactions driving the devastating floods in Henan Province, China during July 2021. Weather. Clim. Extremes., 39, 100541. DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100541.

      105. Bui, H., and P.-C. Hsu, 2023: Projected changes in the seasonal cycle of Madden-Julian oscillation precipitation and wind amplitude. Geophys. Res. Lett., 50, e2022GL101773. DOI: 10.1029/2022GL101773

      104. Hu, S., and P.-C. Hsu*, 2023: Drivers of elevation-dependent warming over the Tibetan Plateau. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 16, 100289. DOI: 10.1016/j.aosl.2022.100289.

      103. Hu, S., P.-C. Hsu*, W. Li, L. Wang, H. Chen, and B. Zhou, 2023: Mechanisms of Tibetan Plateau warming amplification in recent decades and future projections. J. Climate. 36, 5775–5792. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0471.1.

      102. Liu X., Z. Zhu, R. Lu, Z. Miao, W. Li, P-C. Hsu, 2023: Unprecedented July rainfall in North China in 2021: Combined effect of Atlantic warming and Arctic sea-ice loss. JGR: Atmos., 128, e2022JD038068. DOI: 10.1029/2022JD038068.

      101. Wu, J., J. Li, Z. Zhu, and P.-C. Hsu, 2023: Factors determining the subseasonal prediction skill of summer extreme rainfall over southern China. Clim. Dyn., 60, 443–460. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-022-06326-w

      100. Xie, J., P.-C. Hsu*, Y. Hu, M. Ye, and J. Yu, 2023: Skillful extended-range forecast of rainfall and extreme events in East China based on deep learning. Weather Forecast., 38, 467–486. DOI: 10.1175/WAF-D-22-0132.1

      99. Xie, J., P.-C. Hsu*, Y. Hu, Q. Lin, and M. Ye, 2023: Disastrous persistent extreme rainfall events of the 2022 pre-flood season in South China: causes and subseasonal predictions. J. Meteor. Res., 37, 469–485. DOI: 10.1007/s13351-023-3014-9  

      98. Yuan, Y., P.-C. Hsu*, and W. Li, 2023: Characteristics and dynamics of two distinct quasi‐biweekly oscillations in the Tibetan Plateau summer monsoon. Clim. Dyn., 61, 91–109. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-022-06575-9.

      97. Zhou, H., and P.-C. Hsu*, 2023: Distinct influences of two boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation modes on synoptic-scale eddies over the western North Pacific. Mon. Wea. Rev., 151, 953–966. DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-22-0218.1

      96. Zhu Z., Y. Zhou, W. Jiang, S. Fu, P-C. Hsu, 2023: Influence of compound zonal displacements of the South Asia high and the western Pacific subtropical high on Meiyu intraseasonal variation. Clim. Dyn., 61, 3309–3325. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-023-06726-6.

      95.  马长健, 李艳, 徐邦琪.2023: 双低空急流对“21·7”河南极端暴雨的影响. 大气科学. 47, 1611−1625. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2304.22110

     94. 张可越, 李娟, 徐邦琪, 朱志伟. 2023: 中国南方降水及其极端事件的动力-统计相结合的延伸期预报. 气象学报. 81, 79–93. DOI: 10.11676/qxxb2023.20220061


    2022 

      93. Fu, Z., P.-C. Hsu*, J. Li, J. Cao, Y-M Yang, and F. Liu, 2022: Multidecadal changes in zonal displacement of tropical Pacific MJO variability modulated by North Atlantic SST. J. Climate, 35, 5951–5966. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0819.1

      92. Gao, Y., P.-C. Hsu*, S. Che, C. Yu, and S. Han, 2022: Origins of intraseasonal precipitation variability over North China in the rainy season. J. Climate, 35, 6219–6236. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0832.1

      91. Lee, D. Y., J.-Y. Lee, Y.-M. Yang, P.-C. Hsu, and J.-E. Kim, 2022: Dominant processes for dependence of boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation on El Niño phases. Geophys. Res. Lett., 49, e2022GL098669. DOI:10.1029/2022GL098669

      90. Li, W., J. Song, P.-C. Hsu, and Y. Wang, 2022: Evaluation of the forecast performance for week-2 winter surface air temperature from the Model for Prediction Across Scales – Atmosphere (MPAS-A). Weather Forecast, 37, 2035–2047. DOI: 10.1175/WAF-D-22-0054.1&gt

      89. Murakami, H., T. L. Delworth, W. F. Cooke, S. B. Kapnick, and P.-C. Hsu, 2022: Increasing frequency of anomalous precipitation events in Japan detected by a deep learning autoencoder. Earth's Future, 10, e2021EF002481. DOI: 10.1029/2021EF002481.

      88. Qian, Y., P.-C. Hsu*, J. Yuan, Z. Zhu, H. Wang, and M. Duan, 2022: Effects of subseasonal variation in the East Asian monsoon system on the summertime heat wave in western North America in 2021. Geophys. Res. Lett., 49, e2021GL097659. DOI: 10.1029/2021GL097659.

      87. Qian, Y., P.-C. Hsu*, H. Wang, and M. Duan, 2022: Distinct influential mechanisms of the warm pool Madden-Julian Oscillation on persistent extreme cold events in Northeast China. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 15, 100226. DOI: 10.1016/j.aosl.2022.100226

      86. Qian, Y., P.-C. Hsu*, Z. Fu, Y. Liu, Q. Li, 2022: Decadal change of Meiyu onset over Yangtze River and its causes. Sustainability, 14, 5085. DOI: 10.3390/su14095085.

      85. Xie, J., P.-C. Hsu*, P. Ray, K. Li, and W. Yu, 2022: Mechanism of MJO-modulated triggering on the rainy season onset over Indian subcontinent. Mon. Wea. Rev., 150, 1937–1951. DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-21-0275.1

      84. Zhou, X., P. Ray, B. S. Barrett, and P.-C. Hsu, 2022: Systematic improvement in simulated latent and sensible heat fluxes over tropical oceans in AMIP6 models compared to AMIP5 models with the same resolutions. Atmos. Res., 274, 106214. DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106214.

      83. 雷蕾, 徐邦琪*, 高庆九,谢洁宏. 2022: 基于卷积神经网络的长江流域夏季日最高温度延伸期预报方法研究. 大气科学学报. 45, 835–849. DOI: 10.13878/j.cnki.dqkxxb.20211101001.


    2021

      82. Hsu, P.-C., Z. Fu, H. Murakami, J.-Y. Lee, C. Yoo, N. C. Johnson, C.-H. Chang, Y. Liu, 2021: East Antarctic cooling induced by decadal changes in Madden-Julian oscillation during austral summer. Sci. Adv., 7, eabf9903. 【Selected for Cover Image】

      81. Hsu, P.-C., K.-C. Chen, C.-H. Tsou, H.-H. Hsu, C.-C. Hong, H.-C. Liang, C.-Y. Tu, and A. Kitoh, 2021: Future changes in the frequency and destructiveness of landfalling tropical cyclones over East Asia projected by high-resolution AGCMs. Earth's Future, 9, e2020EF001888. DOI: 10.1029/2020EF001888.

      80. Cai, S., P.-C. Hsu, and F. Liu, 2021: Changes in polar amplification in response to increasing warming in CMIP6. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 14, 100043. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aosl.2021.100043.

      79. Hong, C.-C., C.-H. Tsou, P.-C. Hsu*, K.-C. Chen, H.-C. Liang, H.-H. Hsu, C.-Y. Tu, and A. Kitoh, 2021: Future changes in the tropical cyclone intensity and frequency over the western North Pacific based on 20-km HiRAM and MRI Models. J. Climate, 34, 2235–2251. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0417.1.

      78. Lei, X., W. Zhang, P.-C. Hsu, and C. Liu, 2021: Distinctive MJO Activity during the boreal winter of 2015/16 Super El Niño in comparison with other super El Niño events. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 38, 555–568. DOI: 10.1007/s00376-020-0261-x.

      77. Li W., B. Qiu, W. Guo, and P.-C. Hsu, 2021: Rapid response of the East Asian trough to Tibetan Plateau snow cover. Int. J. Climatol., 41, 251–261. DOI: 10.1002/joc.6618.


    2020

      76. Hsu, P.-C.*, Y. Qian, Y. Liu, H. Murakami, and Y. Gao, 2020: Role of abnormally enhanced MJO over the Western Pacific in the formation and subseasonal predictability of the record-breaking Northeast Asian heatwave in the summer of 2018. J. Climate, 33, 3333–3349. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0337.1. 

      75. Fu, Z., P.-C. Hsu*, and F. Liu, 2020: Factors regulating the multi-decadal changes in MJO amplitude over the twentieth century. J. Climate, 33, 9513–9529. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0111.1.

      74. Gao, Y., P.-C. Hsu*, L. Chen, L. Wang and T. Li, 2020: Effects of high-frequency surface wind on the intraseasonal SST associated with the Madden-Julian oscillation. Clim. Dyn., 54, 4485–4498. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05239-w.

      73. Gao, Y., N. P. Klingaman, C. A. DeMott, and P.-C. Hsu*, 2020: Boreal summer intraseasonal  oscillation  in  a  superparameterized GCM: effects of air-sea coupling and ocean mean state. Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 5191–5209. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-5191-2020.

      72. Huang, Z., W. Zhang, X. Geng, and P.-C. Hsu, 2020: Accumulated effect of intra-seasonal oscillation convections over the tropical western North Pacific on the meridional location of western Pacific subtropical high. Front. Earth Sci., 8, 579442. DOI: 10.3389/feart.2020.579442.

      71. Li, T., J. Ling, and P.-C. Hsu, 2020: Madden-Julian Oscillation: Its discovery, dynamics and impact on East Asia. J. Meteor. Res., 34, 20–42. DOI: 10.1007/s13351-020-9153-3.

      70. Li W., B. Qiu, W. Guo, Z. Zhu, and P.-C. Hsu*, 2020: Intraseasonal variability of Tibetan Plateau snow cover. Int. J. Climatol., 40, 3451–3466. DOI: 10.1002/joc.6407.

      69. Li W., S. Hu, P.-C. Hsu, W. Guo, and J. Wei, 2020: Systematic bias of Tibetan Plateau snow cover in subseasonal-to-seasonal models. Cryosphere, 14, 3565–3579 DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-3565-2020

      68. Li, Y., F. Liu, and P.-C. Hsu, 2020: Modulation of the intraseasonal variability of Pacific–Japan pattern by ENSO. J. Meteor. Res., 34, 546–558. DOI: 10.1007/s13351-020-9182-y.

      67. Liu F., Y. Ouyang, B. Wang, J. Yang, J. Ling, and P.-C. Hsu, 2020: Seasonal evolution of the intraseasonal variability of China summer precipitation. Clim. Dyn., 34, 546–558. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05251-0.

      66. Murakami, H.*, T. L. Delworth, W. F. Cooke, M. Zhao, B. Xiang, and P. -C. Hsu*, 2020: Detected climatic change in global distribution of tropical cyclones. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA., 117, 10706–10714. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1922500117.

      65. Qian Y., H. Murakami, P.-C. Hsu*, and S. B. Kapnick, 2020: Effects of anthropogenic forcing and natural variability on the 2018 heatwave in Northeast Asia. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 101, S77–S82. DOI:10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0156.1.

      64. Qian, Y., P.-C. Hsu*, H. Murakami, B. Xiang and L. You, 2020: A hybrid dynamical-statistical model for advancing subseasonal tropical cyclone prediction over the western North Pacific. Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, e2020GL090095. DOI: 10.1029/2020GL090095.

      63. Xie, J., J. Yu, H. Chen, and P.-C. Hsu*, 2020: Sources of subseasonal prediction skill for heatwaves over the Yangtze River Basin revealed from three S2S models. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 37, 1435–1450. DOI: 10.1007/s00376-020-0144-1.

      62.Zhang, W., X. Zhou, P.-C. Hsu, F. Liu, 2020: Diversity of East China summer rainfall change in post-El Niño summers. Front. Earth Sci., 8, 595548. DOI: 10.3389/feart.2020.595548

      61. Zhou, X., P. Ray, B. S. Barrett, and P.-C. Hsu, 2020: Understanding the bias in surface latent and sensible heat fluxes in contemporary AGCMs over tropical oceans. Clim. Dyn., 55, 2957–2978. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05431-y.

      60. 徐邦琪*,臧钰歆,朱志伟,李天明,2020:时空投影模型(STPM)的次季节至季节(S2S)预测应用进展. 大气科学学报43,212–224.  10.13878/j.cnki.dqkxxb.20191028002.


    2019 

      59. He Z., P.-C. Hsu*, X. Liu, T. Wu, Y. Gao, 2019: Factors limiting the forecast skill of the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation in a subseasonal-to-seasonal model. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 36, 104–118. DOI: 10.1007/s00376-018-7242-3. [ PDF ]

      58. Li Y., T. Li, C. Fu, and P.-C. Hsu, 2019: Near-equatorial tropical cyclone formation in western North Pacific: peak season and controlling parameter, Clim. Dyn., 52, 2765–2773. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4291-3.

      57. Liu Y., P.-C. Hsu*, 2019: Long-term changes in wintertime persistent heavy rainfall over southern China contributed by the Madden–Julian Oscillation. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 12, 361–368. DOI: 10.1080/16742834.2019.1639471.

      56. Gao, Y., P.-C. Hsu* and T. Li, 2019: Effects of high-frequency activity on latent heat flux of MJO, Clim. Dyn., 52, 1471–1485. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4208-1. [ PDF ]

      55. Gao, Y., N. P. Klingaman, C. A. DeMott and P.-C. Hsu, 2019: Diagnosing ocean feedbacks to the BSISO: SST‐modulated surface fluxes and the moist static energy budget. J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 124, 146–170. doi: 10.1029/2018JD029303. 

      54. Qian Y., P.-C. Hsu* and K. Kikuchi, 2019: New real-time indices for the Quasi-Biweekly Oscillation over the Asian summer monsoon region. Clim. Dyn., 53, 2603–2624. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04644-0. [ PDF ]

      53. Qian Y., H. Murakami*, M. Nakano, P.-C. Hsu*, T. L. Delworth, S. B. Kapnick, V. Rammaswamy, T. Mochizuki, Y. Morioka, T. Doi, T. Kataoka, T. Nasuno, and K.Yoshida, 2019: On the mechanisms of the active 2018 tropical cyclone season in the North Pacific. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 12293–12302. DOI: 10.1029/2019GL084566.

      52. Tan K., P. Huang, F. Liu, H. Murakami, P.-C. Hsu, 2019: Simulated ENSO's impact on tropical cyclone genesis over the western North Pacific in CMIP5 models and its changes under global warming. Int. J. Climatol., 39, 3668–3678.

      51. Zhou X., P. Ray, K. Boykin, B. S. Barrett, P.-C. Hsu, 2019: Evaluation of surface radiative fluxes over the tropical oceans in AMIP simulations. Atmosphere, 10, 606. DOI:10.3390/atmos10100606.


    2018 

      50. Hsu, P.-C.*, Z. Fu and T. Xiao, 2018: Energetic processes regulating the strength of MJO circulation over the Maritime Continent during two types of El Niño, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 11, 112–119. DOI: 10.1080/16742834.2018.1399049 [ PDF ]

      49. Diao Y., T. Li, and P.-C. Hsu, 2018: Influence of the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation on extreme temperature events in the Northern Hemisphere, J. Meteor. Res., 32, 534–547. DOI: 10.1007/s13351-018-8031-8. [ PDF ]

      48. Li, T. and P.-C. Hsu, 2018: Fundamentals of Tropical Climate Dynamics, Springer, 1–229 pp.

      47. Li W., W. Guo, B. Qiu, Y. Xue, P.-C. Hsu, J. Wei, 2018: Influence of Tibetan Plateau snow cover on East Asian atmospheric circulation at medium-range time scales, Nature Communications, 9, 4243. doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-06762-5. [ PDF ]

      46. Murakami, H., E. Levin, T. Delworth, R. Gudgel, P.-C. Hsu, 2018: Dominant effect of relative tropical Atlantic warming on major hurricane occurrence. Science, 362, 794–+. DOI: 10.1126/science.aat6711. [ PDF ]

      45. Ni, Y. and P.-C. Hsu*, 2018: Inter-annual variability of global monsoon precipitation in present-day and future warming scenarios based on 33 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models. Int. J. Climatol., 38, 4875–4890. DOI:10.1002/joc.5704. [ PDF ]

      44. Zhou, H., P.-C. Hsu* and Y. Qian, 2018: Close linkage between quasi-biweekly oscillation and tropical cyclone intensification over the western North Pacific. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 19:e826. DOI:10.1002/asl.826. [ PDF ]

      43. 贺铮,徐邦琪*,高迎侠,2018:BCC S2S模式对亚洲季风准双周振荡预报评估,应用气象学报29,436–448. DOI:10.11898/1001-7313.20180405. [ PDF ]


    2017

      42. Hsu, P.-C.* and T. Xiao, 2017: Differences in the initiation and development of Madden–Julian Oscillation over the Indian Ocean associated with two types of El Niño. J. Climate. 30, 1397–1415. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0336.1. [ PDF ]

      41. Hsu, P.-C.*, T.-H. Lee, C.-H. Tsou, P.-S. Chu, Y. Qian, and M. Bi, 2017: Role of scale interactions in the abrupt change of tropical cyclone in autumn over the western North Pacific.Clim. Dyn., 49, 3175–3192. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3504-x  [ PDF ]

      40. Hsu P.-C., J-Y Lee, K-J Ha and C-H Tsou, 2017: Influences of boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation on heat waves in monsoon Asia. J. Climate. 30, 7191–7211. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0505.1. [ PDF ]

      39. Lee J-Y, P.-C. Hsu, S. Moon, K-J Ha, 2017: Influence of Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation on Korean Precipitation and its Long-Term Changes, Atmosphere, 27, 435–444.

      38. Qian Y., P.-C. Hsu* and C.-H. Cheng, 2017: Changes in surface energy partitioning in China over the past three decades. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 34, 635–649. DOI: 10.1007/s00376-016-6194-8.  [ PDF ]

      37. Lu W. and P.-C. Hsu*, 2017: Factors Controlling the Seasonality of the Madden-Julian Oscillation. Dynam. Atmos. Oceans. 78, 106–120. DOI: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2017.04.002.  [ PDF ]

      36. 李天明,徐邦琪,2017:热带气候动力学引论,科学出版社。


    2016

      35. Hsu, P.-C.*, 2016: Global Monsoons in a Changing Climate. Chapter 2 in The Monsoons and Climate Change, Eds L. M. V. Carvalho and C. Jones, Springer International Publishing. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-21650-8

      34. Hsu, P.-C.*, J-Y Lee, K-J Ha, 2016: Influence of boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation on rainfall extremes in southern China. Int. J. Climatol., 36, 1403–1412. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4433 [ PDF ]

      33. Hsu, P.-C.* and Y. Yang: Contribution of atmospheric internal processes to interannual variability of South Asian summer monsoon. Int. J. Climatol., DOI: 10.1002/joc.4528 [ PDF ]

      32. Gao Y., P.-C Hsu*, H.-H. Hsu: Assessments of surface latent heat flux associated with the Madden–Julian Oscillation in reanalyses. Clim. Dyn., DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2931-4 [ PDF ]

      31. Li W., P.-C Hsu*, J. He, Z. Zhu, W. Zhang, 2016: Extended-range forecast of spring rainfall in southern China based on the Madden–Julian Oscillation. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 128, 331–345. DOI: 10.1007/s00703-015-0418-9 [ PDF ]

      30. Li, W., W. Guo, P.-C. Hsu, Y. Xue, 2016: Influence of the Madden–Julian oscillation on Tibetan Plateau snow cover at the intraseasonal time-scale. Sci. Rep., 6, 30456, doi: 10.1038/srep30456. [ PDF ]

      29. 杨悦,徐邦琪*,何金海,2016: 南海夏季风强、弱年多尺度相互作用能量学特征. 气象学报74,556–571。[ PDF ]

      28. 钱伊恬,徐邦琪*,2016:2015年西北太平洋台风季提早展开:2015/2016超级厄尔尼诺的影响. 大气科学学报39,788–800。[ PDF ]


    2015

      27. Hsu P.-C.*, T. Li, L. You, J. Gao, and H.L. Ren, 2015: A spatial-temporal projection model for 10-30 day rainfall forecast in South China. Clim. Dyn., 44, 1227-1244.  doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2215-4

      26. Li T., C. Zhao, P.-C. Hsu, T. Nasuno, 2015: MJO initiation processes over the tropical Indian Ocean during DYNAMO/CINDY2011. J. Climate, 28, 2121–2135.

      25. OConnor C., P.-S. Chu, P.-C. Hsu, K. Kodama, 2015: Variability of Hawaiian winter rainfall during La Nina events since 1956. J. Climate. 28, 7809–7823. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00638.1  [ PDF ]

      24. Zhu Z., T. Li, P.-C. Hsu, J. He, 2015: A spatial-temporal projection model for extended-range forecast in the Tropics. Clim. Dyn., 45, 1085–1098.


    2014

      23. Hsu, P.-C.*, P.-S. Chu, H. Murakami, and X. Zhao, 2014: An abrupt decrease in the late-season typhoon activity over the western North Pacific. J. Climate, 27, 4296-4312.

      22. Hsu P.-C., T. Li, and H. Murakami, 2014: Moisture asymmetry and MJO eastward propagation in an aqua-planet general circulation model. J. Climate, 27, 8747-8760.

      21. Murakami, H., P.-C. Hsu, O. Arakawa, and T. Li, 2014: Influence of model biases on projected future changes in tropical cyclone frequency of occurrence. J. Climate, 27, 2159-2181.

      20. Murakami, H., T. Li, and P.-C. Hsu, 2014: Contributing factors to the recent high level of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) and Power Dissipation Index (PDI) in the North Atlantic. J. Climate, 27, 3023-3034.

      19. Tsou C.-H., H.-H. Hsu, P.-C. Hsu, 2014: The role of multi-scale interaction in synoptic-scale eddy kinetic energy over the western North Pacific in autumn. J. Climate, 27, 3750-3766.

      18. Tung Y.-S., C.-T. Chen, P.-C. Hsu, 2014: Evolutions of Asian Summer Monsoon in the CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. SOLA, 10, 88-92.

      17. Zhao, H., P. -S. Chu, P. -C. Hsu, and H. Murakami, 2014: Exploratory analysis of extremely low tropical cyclone activity during the late-season of 2010 and 1998 over the Western North Pacific and South China Sea. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 6, 1141–1153. DOI: 10.1002/2014MS000381.


    2013

      16. Hsu, P.-C., T. Li, H. Murakami and A. Kitoh, 2013: Future change of the global monsoon revealed from 19 CMIP5 models. J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 118, 1247-1260.

      15. Fu, X., J.-Y. Lee, P.-C. Hsu, H. Taniguchi, B. Wang, W. Wang, and S. Weaver, 2013: Multi-model MJO forecasting during DYNAMO/CINDY period. Clim. Dyn., 41, 1067-1081.


    2012

      14. Hsu, P.-C., and T. Li, 2012: Role of the boundary layer moisture asymmetry in causing the eastward propagation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation. J. Climate, 25, 4914-4931.

      13. Hsu, P.-C., and T. Li, 2012: Is "rich-get-richer" valid for Indian Ocean and Atlantic ITCZ? Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L13705, doi:10.1029/ 2012GL052399.

      12. Hsu, P.-C., T. Li, J.-J. Luo, H. Murakami, A. Kitoh, and M. Zhao, 2012: Increase of global monsoon area and precipitation under global warming: A robust signal? Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L06701, doi:10.1029/2012GL051037.

      11. Hsu, P.-C., T. Li, Y.-C. Lin, M.-M. Lu, and J.-Y. Lee, 2012: A spatial-temporal projection method for seasonal prediction of spring rainfall in northern Taiwan. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 90, 179-190.


    2011

      10. Hsu, P.-C., T. Li, and B. Wang, 2011: Trends in global monsoon area and precipitation over the past 30 years. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L08701, doi:10.1029/2011GL046893.

      9. Hsu, P.-C., T. Li, and C.-H. Tsou, 2011: Interactions between boreal summer Intraseasonal oscillations and synoptic-scale disturbances over the western North Pacific. Part I: Energetics diagnosis. J. Climate, 24, 927-941.

      8. Hsu, P.-C., and T. Li, 2011: Interactions between boreal summer Intraseasonal oscillations and synoptic-scale disturbances over the western North Pacific. Part II: Apparent heat and moisture sources and eddy momentum transport. J. Climate, 24, 942-961.

      7. Fu, X., and P.-C. Hsu, 2011: Extended-range ensemble forecasting of tropical cyclogenesis in the northern Indian Ocean: Modulation of Madden-Julian Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L15803, doi:10.1029/2011GL048249.


    2010 & before

      6. Hsu, P.-C., C.-H. Tsou, H.-H, Hsu, and J.-H. Chen, 2009: Eddy energy along the tropical storm track in association with ENSO. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan., 87, 687-704.

      5. 徐邦琪、邹治华、陈正达, 2007: 台风季季内振荡年际变化之模拟, 大气科学(台湾), 35, 189-218.

      4. 徐邦琪、邹治华、柯文雄、许晃雄, 2005: 西太平洋地区台风季季内振荡年际变化之研究, 大气科学(台湾), 33, 29-48.

      3. Tsou, C.-H., P.-C. Hsu, W.-S. Kau, and H.-H. Hsu, 2005: Northward and northwestward propagation of 30-60 day oscillations in the tropical and extratropical western North Pacific. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan., 83, 711-726.

      2. 邹治华、柯文雄、徐邦琪、潘淑玲, 2003:东亚夏季季风期间季内振荡的年际变化, 大气科学(台湾), 31, 239-260.

      1. 邹治华、徐邦琪、柯文雄,2001:台湾地区五-七月豪大雨之中长期变化与季内振荡, 大气科学(台湾), 30,1-20.


  • 近期科研项目:  

    1. 国家杰出青年基金,主持,42225502,季节内振荡与延伸期预报,2023.1-2027.12,400万。
    2. 国家重点研发计划课题,主持,2023YFF0805701,长江流域复合型气候极端事件演变规律及形成机理,2023.12-2028.11,235万。
    3. 国家重点研发计划重点专项,主持,2018YFC1505800,10~30天极端天气过程可预报性及其预报理论与方法研究,2018.12-2021.11,2229万。
    4. 973,参加,2015CB453200,热带和中高纬季节内振荡的动力机理及延伸期预报方法研究,2015.1-2019.12,80万。
    5. 江苏省特聘教授,主持,季节内振荡动力机制,2015.1-2017.12,100万。
    6. 国家自然科学基金,主持,41375100,热带季节内振荡与天气尺度扰动之相互作用,2014.1-2017.12,82万。
    7. 教育部科学技术研究(科学技术类),主持,2013014A,热带大气之多尺度相互作用,2014.1-2016.12,50万。
    8. 江苏省杰出青年基金,主持,BK20140046,大气低频振荡与江淮地区灾害天气的延伸期预报,2014.7-2017.6,100万。