袁星

 博士生导师  硕士生导师
学位:理学博士学位
性别:男
毕业院校:中国科学院大气物理研究所
学历:博士研究生毕业
所在单位:水文与水资源工程学院

个人简介

袁星,男,博士,南京信息工程大学教授,博士生导师,水文与水资源工程学院院长,水利部水文气象灾害机理与预警重点实验室(筹)主任,国家“特支计划”领军人才。2009年获中科院大气所气象学博士学位。2009-2014年先后在美国伊利诺伊大学香槟分校(UIUC)和美国“常春藤”名校普林斯顿大学工作,2014-2018任中科院大气所研究员、博导。研究方向为水文气候和水文气象,包括高分辨率陆面水文模型研发、气候变化对极端水旱事件影响、水文气象集合预报等。主持国家级项目/课题6项,发表论文100余篇,包括Nature CommunicationsBAMS等期刊第一/通讯作者SCI论文60余篇。担任Hydrology and Earth System SciencesJournal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Frontiers in Environmental Science等SCI期刊编委。国际水文协会IAHS中国委员会陆气关系分委会副主席,长江技术经济学会青年工作委员会副主任委员,中国气象学会水文气象学专业委员会委员。曾获国家“海外引才计划”青年学者、科技部中青年科技创新领军人才、江苏“杰出青年基金”、江苏“双创人才”、谢义炳青年气象科技奖、清华大学⁃浪潮集团计算地球科学青年人才奖等荣誉。(xyuan@nuist.edu.cn)


发表论文目录(*通讯作者)

110. Zhang, M., X. Yuan*, J. Otkin, and P. Ji, 2022: Climate warming outweighs vegetation greening in intensifying flash droughts over China. Environmental Research Letters, https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac69fb 

109. Ma, F., X. Yuan*, H. Li, 2022: Characteristics and circulation patterns for wet and dry compound day-night heat waves in mid-eastern China. Global and Planetary Change, accepted

108. Chen, S., X. Yuan*, 2022: Quantifying the uncertainty of internal variability in future projections of seasonal soil moisture droughts over China. Science of the Total Environment, 824, 153817. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153817 

107. Zhou, S., and X. Yuan*, 2022: Upwind droughts enhance half of the heatwaves over North China. Geophysical Research Letters, 49(2), e2021GL096639. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL096639 

106. Ma, F., X. Yuan*, P. Wu, and Z. Zeng, 2022: A moderate mitigation can significantly delay the emergence of compound hot extremes. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127(2), e2021JD035427. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD035427 

105. Liu, J., X. Yuan*, J. Zeng, Y. Jiao, Y. Li, L. Zhong, and L. Yao, 2022: Ensemble streamflow forecasting over a cascade reservoir catchment with integrated hydrometeorological modeling and machine learning. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 26(2), 265–278. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-265-2022 

104. Liu, H, X. Yuan*, M. Zhang, 2022: Unraveling human influence on evapotranspiration over East Asian monsoon river basins by using GRACE/GRACE-FO data and land surface models. Journal of Hydrology, 605, 127349. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127349 

103. Wu, J., H. Yao, X. Yuan, B. Lin, 2022: Dissolved organic carbon response to hydrological drought characteristics: based on long-term measurements of headwater streams. Water Research, 215, 118252. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2022.118252

102. Wu, J., I. Mallakpour, X. Yuan, H. Yao, G. Wang, X. Chen, 2022: Impact of the false intensification and recovery on the hydrological drought internal propagation. Weather and Climate Extremes, 36, 100430. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100430 

101. Van Loon, A. F., S. Rangecroft, G. Coxon, M. Werner, N. Wanders, G. Di Baldassarre, E. Tijdeman, M. Bosman, T. Gleeson, A. Nauditt, A. Aghakouchak, J. Breña-Naranjo, O. Cenobio-Cruz, A. Costa, M. Fendekova, G. Jewitt, D. Kingston, J. Loft, S. Mager, I. Mallakpour, I. Masih, H. Maureira-Cortés, E. Toth, P. Van Oel, F. Van Ogtrop, K. Verbist, J.-P. Vidal, L. Wen, M. Yu, X. Yuan, M. Zhang, and H. Van Lanen, 2022: Streamflow droughts aggravated by human activities despite management. Environmental Research Letters, 17, 044059. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac5def    

100. Liu, Y., Z.-Z. Hu, R. Wu, and X. Yuan, 2022: Causes and Predictability of the 2021 Spring Southwestern China Severe Drought, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-022-1428-4 

99. Li, H., B. Sun, H. Wang, X. Yuan, 2022: Joint effects of three oceans on the 2020 super mei-yu. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 15(1), 100127. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aosl.2021.100127

98. 陈剑飞, 李勇, 刘俊江, 钟利华, 史彩霞, 袁星, 钟华昌, 2022: 耦合陆面水文模型和机器学习方法的水库径流量预报及应用. 气象研究与应用, 43(1), 1-7.

97. Zeng, J., X. Yuan*, P. Ji, and C. Shi, 2021: Effects of meteorological forcings and land surface model on soil moisture simulation over China. Journal of Hydrology, 603, 126978. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126978

96. Ji, P., X. Yuan*, X.-Z. Liang, Y. Jiao, Y. Zhou, and Z. Liu, 2021: High-resolution land surface modeling of the effect of long-term urbanization on hydrothermal changes over Beijing metropolitan area. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmosphere, 126, e2021JD034787. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD034787

95. Zeng, D., and X. Yuan*, 2021: Modeling the Influence of Upstream Land–Atmosphere Coupling on the 2017 Persistent Drought over Northeast China. Journal of Climate, 34(12), 4971–4988. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0650.1

94. Wang, Y., and X. Yuan*, 2021: Anthropogenic Speeding Up of South China Flash Droughts as Exemplified by the 2019 Summer-Autumn Transition Season. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(9), e2020GL091901. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091901 

93. Ma, F., and X. Yuan*, 2021: More Persistent Summer Compound Hot Extremes Caused by Global Urbanization. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(15), e2021GL093721. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL093721 

92. Ma, F., and X. Yuan*, 2021: Impact of climate and population changes on the increasing exposure to summertime compound hot extremes. Science of the Total Environment, 772, 145004, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145004 

91. Huang, Z., X. Yuan*, and X. Liu, 2021: The key drivers for the changes in global water scarcity: water withdrawal versus water availability. Journal of Hydrology, 601, 126658. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126658 

90. Chen, S., and X. Yuan*, 2021: CMIP6 projects less frequent seasonal soil moisture droughts over China in response to different warming levels. Environmental Research Letters, 16, 044053, https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abe782

89. Liu, X., X. Yuan*, E. Zhu, 2021: Global warming induces significant changes in the fraction of stored precipitation in the surface soil. Global and Planetary Change, 205, 103616. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2021.103616 

88. Zhu, E., and X. Yuan*, 2021: Global freshwater storage capability across time scales in the GRACE satellite era. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 38(6), 905-917. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00376-021-0222-z 

87. Liang, M., and X. Yuan*, 2021: Critical role of soil moisture memory in predicting the 2012 central United States flash drought. Frontiers in Earth Science, 9, 615969, https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.615969 

86. Li, H., K. Fan, S. He, Y. Liu, X. Yuan, and H. Wang, 2021: Intensified impacts of central Pacific ENSO on the reversal of December and January surface air temperature anomaly over China since 1997. Journal of Climate, 34(5), 1601-1618, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0048.1

85. Wang, S., J. Huang, and X. Yuan, 2021: Attribution of 2019 Extreme Spring-Early Summer Hot Drought over Yunnan in Southwestern China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102(1), S91–S96, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0121.1 

84. Wu, J., X. Yuan, H. Yao, X. Chen, and G. Wang, 2021: Reservoirs regulate the relationship between hydrological drought recovery water and drought characteristics. Journal of Hydrology, 603, 127127. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127127 

83. Wu, J., X. Chen, X. Yuan, H. Yao, Y. Zhao, and A. AghaKouchak, 2021: The interactions between hydrological drought evolution and precipitation-streamflow relationship. Journal of Hydrology, 597, 126210, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126210 

82. Li, H., S. He, K. Fan, Y. Liu, and X. Yuan, 2021: Recent intensified influence of the winter North Pacific sea surface temperature on the withdrawal date of Meiyu. Journal of Climate, 34(10), 3869–3887. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0768.1

81. Huang, Z., X. Liu, S. Sun, Y. Tang, X. Yuan, and Q. Tang, 2021: Global assessment of future sectoral water scarcity under adaptive inner-basin water allocation measures. Science of the Total Environment, 783, 146973. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.146973 

80. Omer, A., Z. Ma, X. Yuan, Z. Zheng, F. Saleem, 2021: A hydrological perspective on drought risk-assessment in the Yellow River Basin under future anthropogenic activities. Journal of Environmental Management, 289, 112429, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.112429 

79. Wang, Y., Y. Zhou, K. Franz, X. Zhang, K. Ding, G. Jia, and X. Yuan, 2021: An agent-based framework for high-resolution modeling of domestic water use. Resources, Conservation & Recycling, 169, 105520, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2021.105520 

78. 袁星*,王钰淼,张苗,王琳瑛,2020:关于骤旱研究的一些思考. 大气科学学报, 43(6), 1086-1095

Yuan, X.*, Y. Wang, M. Zhang, and L. Wang, 2020: A few thoughts on the study of flash drought. Trans. Atmos. Sci., 43(6), 1086-1095, doi:10.13878/j.cnki.dqkxxb.20200914002 (in Chinese)

77. 袁星*,马凤,李华,陈思思,2020:全球变化背景下多尺度干旱过程及预测研究进展. 大气科学学报, 43(1), 225-237.

Yuan, X.*, F. Ma, H. Li, and S. Chen, 2020: A review on multi-scale drought processes and prediction under global change. Trans. Atmos. Sci., 43(1), 225-237, doi:10.13878/j.cnki.dqkxxb.20191105005 (in Chinese)

76. Zhang, M., and X. Yuan*, 2020: Rapid reduction in ecosystem productivity caused by flash droughts based on decade-long FLUXNET observations. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24(11), 5579–5593, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5579-2020

75. Ji, P., X. Yuan*, F. Ma, and M. Pan, 2020: Accelerated hydrological cycle over the Sanjiangyuan region induces more streamflow extremes at different global warming levels, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24(11), 5439-5451, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5439-2020

74. Zhang, M., X. Yuan*, and J. Otkin, 2020: Remote sensing of the impact of flash drought events on terrestrial carbon dynamics over China. Carbon Balance and Management, 15(1), 20, https://doi.org/10.1186/s13021-020-00156-1 

73. Zhu, E., X. Yuan*, and P. Wu, 2020: Skillful decadal prediction of droughts over large-scale river basins across the globe. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL089738. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089738

72. Ma, F., X. Yuan*, Y. Jiao, and P. Ji, 2020: Unprecedented Europe heat in June-July 2019: Risk in the historical and future context. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL087809. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL087809

71. Ji, P., X. Yuan*, Y. Jiao, C. Wang, S. Han, and C. Shi, 2020: Anthropogenic contributions to the 2018 extreme flooding over the upper Yellow River basin in China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101(1), S89-S94, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0105.1

70. Ji, P., X. Yuan*, and D. Li, 2020: Atmospheric radiative processes accelerate ground surface warming over the southeastern Tibetan Plateau during 1998-2013. Journal of Climate, 33(5), 1881-1895, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0410.1

69. Zhang, M., and X. Yuan*, 2020: Crucial role of natural processes in detecting human influence on evapotranspiration by multisource data analysis. Journal of Hydrology, 580, 124350, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124350 

68. Ji, P., and X. Yuan*, 2020: Underestimation of the Warming Trend over the Tibetan Plateau during 1998-2013 by Global Land Data Assimilation Systems and Atmospheric Reanalyses. Journal of Meteorological Research, 34(1), 88-100, doi: 10.1007/s13351-020-9100-3

67. Yuan, X.*, L. Wang, P. Wu, P. Ji, J. Sheffield, and M. Zhang, 2019: Anthropogenic shift towards higher risk of flash drought over China. Nature Communications, 10, 4661, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-12692-7 

66. Zhu, E., X. Yuan*, and A. Wood, 2019: Benchmark Decadal Forecast Skill for Terrestrial Water Storage Estimated by an Elasticity Framework. Nature Communications, 10, 1237, doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-09245-3

65. Jiao, Y., and X. Yuan*, 2019: More Severe Hydrological Drought Events Emerge at Different Warming Levels over the Wudinghe Watershed in northern China. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23, 621–635, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-621-2019

65. Zeng, D., X. Yuan*, and J. K. Roundy, 2019: Effect of Teleconnected Land-atmosphere Coupling on Northeast China Persistent Drought in Spring-Summer of 2017. Journal of Climate, 32(21), 7403-7420, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0175.1

63. Wang, S., X. Yuan*, R. Wu, 2019: Attribution of the persistent spring-summer hot and dry extremes over Northeast China in 2017. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100(1), S85-S89, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0120.1

62. Li, Y.*, X. Yuan*, H. Zhang, R. Wang, C. Wang, X. Meng, Z. Zhang, S. Wang, Y. Yang, B. Han, K. Zhang, X. Wang, H. Zhao, G. Zhou, Q. Zhang, Q. He, N. Guo, W. Hou, C. Zhang, G. Xiao, X. Sun, P. Yue, S. Sha, H. Wang, T. Zhang, J. Wang, and Y. Yao, 2019: Mechanisms and Early Warning of Drought Disasters: Experimental Drought Meteorology Research over China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100, 673-687, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0029.1

61. Apurv, T., X. Cai, and X. Yuan, 2019: Influence of internal variability and global warming on multidecadal changes in regional drought severity over the continental United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 20(3), 411–429, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0167.1.

60. Liang, P., Z.-Z. Hu, Y. Liu, X. Yuan, X. Li, and X. Jiang, 2019: Challenges in predicting and simulating summer rainfall in the eastern China. Climate Dynamics, 52, 2217–2233, doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4256-6

59. Yuan, X.*, L. Wang, and E. F. Wood, 2018: Anthropogenic intensification of southern African flash droughts as exemplified by the 2015/16 season. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99, S86-S90, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-17-007.1

58. Yuan, X.*, S. Wang, and Z.-Z. Hu, 2018: Do climate change and El Niño increase likelihood of Yangtze River extreme rainfall? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99, S113-S117, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0089.1

57. Yuan, X.*, and E. Zhu, 2018: A first look at decadal hydrological predictability by land surface ensemble simulations. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 2362-2369, doi:10.1002/2018GL077211

56. Yuan, X.*, Y. Jiao, D. Yang, and H. Lei, 2018: Reconciling the attribution of changes in streamflow extremes from a hydroclimate perspective. Water Resources Research, 54, 3886–3895, doi:10.1029/2018WR022714

55. Yuan, X.*, P. Ji, L. Wang, X.-Z. Liang, K. Yang, A. Ye, Z. Su, and J. Wen, 2018: High-resolution land surface modeling of hydrological changes over the Sanjiangyuan region in the eastern Tibetan Plateau: 1. Model development and evaluation. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10, 2806–2828, doi:10.1029/2018MS001412.

54. Ji, P., and X. Yuan*, 2018: High-resolution land surface modeling of hydrological changes over the Sanjiangyuan region in the eastern Tibetan Plateau: 2. Impact of climate and land cover change. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10, 2829–2843, doi:10.1029/2018MS001413.

53. Wang, S., and X. Yuan*, 2018: Extending seasonal predictability of Yangtze River summer floods. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22, 4201-4211, doi:10.5194/hess-22-4201-2018.

52. Zeng, D., and X. Yuan*, 2018: Multiscale land-atmosphere coupling and its application in assessing subseasonal forecasts over East Asia. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19, 745-760, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-17-0215.1

51. Yao, M., and X. Yuan*, 2018: Superensemble seasonal forecasting of soil moisture by NMME. International Journal of Climatology, 38, 2565–2574, doi:10.1002/joc.5436

50. Wang, L., and X. Yuan*, 2018: Two types of flash drought and their connections with seasonal drought. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35(12), 1478–1490, doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-8047-0.

49. Li, Y., Y. Li, X. Yuan, L. Zhang, and S. Sha, 2018: Evaluation of Model-based Soil Moisture Drought Monitoring over Three Key Regions in China. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 57, 1989-2004, doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-17-0118.1.

48. Yao, M., and X. Yuan*, 2018: Evaluation of summer drought ensemble prediction over the Yellow River basin. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 11(4), 314-321, doi:10.1080/16742834.2018.1484253

47. 杨大文,徐宗学,李哲,袁星,王磊,缪驰远,田富强,田立德,龙笛,汤秋鸿,刘星才,张学君. 水文学研究进展与展望. 地理科学进展, 2018, 37(1),36-45.

46. Yuan, X.*, M. Zhang, L. Wang, and T. Zhou, 2017: Understanding and seasonal forecasting of hydrological drought in the Anthropocene. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 21, 5477-5492, doi:10.5194/hess-21-5477-2017

45. Ji, P., X. Yuan*, and X.-Z. Liang, 2017: Do lateral flows matter for the hyperresolution land surface modeling? Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 122, 12077-12092, doi:10.1002/2017JD027366

44. Wang, S., X. Yuan*, and Y. Li, 2017: Does a strong El Niño imply a higher predictability of extreme drought? Scientific Reports,7, 40741; doi: 10.1038/srep40741

43. Hao, Z., X. Yuan, Y. Xia, F. Hao, and V. Singh, 2017: An overview of drought monitoring and prediction systems at regional and global scales. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98, 1879–1896, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00149.1

42. Lv, M., Z. Ma, X. Yuan, M. Lv, M. Li, and Z. Zheng, 2017: Water budget closure based on GRACE measurements and reconstructed evapotranspiration using GLDAS and water use data for two large densely-populated mid-latitude basins. Journal of Hydrology, 547, 585-599, doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol. 2017.02.027

41. Tian, D., E. F. Wood, and X. Yuan, 2017: CFSv2-based sub-seasonal precipitation and temperature forecast skill over the contiguous United States. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,21, 1477–1490, doi:10.5194/hess-21-1477-2017

40. Jiao, Y., H. Lei, D. Yang, M. Huang, D. Liu, and X. Yuan, 2017: Impact of vegetation dynamics on hydrological processes in a semi-arid basin by using a land surface-hydrology coupled model. Journal of Hydrology, 551,116-131, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.05.060

39. Koster, R. D., A. K. Betts, P. A. Dirmeyer, M. Bierkens, K. E. Bennett, S. J. Déry, J. Evans, R. Fu, F. Hernandez, R. L. Leung, X. Liang, M. Masood, H. Savenije, G. Wang, and X. Yuan, 2017: Hydroclimatic Variability and Predictability: A Survey of Recent Research, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,21,3777-3798, doi:10.5194/hess-21-3777-2017

38. 朱江,马柱国,严中伟,袁星,符淙斌. 气候变化背景下雄安新区发展中面临的问题.中国科学院院刊, 2017, 32(11):1231-1236.

37. 李耀辉, 周广胜, 袁星, 等. 干旱气象科学研究—“我国北方干旱致灾过程及机理”项目概述与主要进展. 干旱气象, 2017, 35(2): 165-174.

36. Yuan, X.*, F. Ma, L. Wang, Z. Zheng, Z. Ma, A. Ye, and S. Peng, 2016:An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin-Part 1: Understanding the role of initial hydrological conditions. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20, 2437–2451, doi:10.5194/hess-20-2437-2016

35. Yuan, X.*, 2016: An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin-Part 2: The added value from climate forecast models. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20, 2453–2466, doi:10.5194/hess-20-2453-2016

34. Wang, L., X. Yuan*, Z. Xie, P. Wu, Y. Li, 2016: Increasing flash droughts over China during the recent global warming hiatus. Scientific Reports,6, 30571, doi: 10.1038/srep30571

33. Xie, Z., L. Wang, B. Jia, and X. Yuan, 2016: Measuring and modeling the impact of a severe drought on terrestrial ecosystem CO2 and water fluxes in a subtropical forest. Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences, 121, 2576-2587, doi:10.1002/2016JG003437

32. Tang, Q., X. Zhang, Q. Duan, S. Huang, X. Yuan, H. Cui, Z. Li, and X. Liu, 2016: Hydrological monitoring and seasonal forecasting: progress and perspectives. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 26(7), 904-920,doi: 10.1007/s11442-016-1306-z

31. Yuan, X.*, J. K. Roundy, E. F. Wood, and J. Sheffield, 2015: Seasonal forecasting of global hydrologic extremes: system development and evaluation over GEWEX basins. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, 1895-1912, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00003.1

30. Yuan, X.*, Z. Ma, M. Pan, and C. Shi, 2015: Microwave remote sensing of short-term droughts during crop growing seasons. Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 4394-4401, doi:10.1002/2015GL064125

29. Yuan, X.*, E. F. Wood, and Z. Ma, 2015: A review on climate-model-based seasonal hydrologic forecasting: physical understanding and system development. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water, 2, 523-536, doi: 10.1002/wat2.1088

28. Ma, F., X. Yuan*, and A. Ye, 2015: Seasonal Drought Predictability and Forecast Skill over China. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 120, 8264-8275, doi:10.1002/2015JD023185

27. Roundy, J. K., X. Yuan, J. Schaake, and E. F. Wood, 2015: A framework for diagnosing seasonal prediction through canonical event analysis. Monthly Weather Review, 143, 2404-2418, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-14-00190.1

26. Yuan, X.*, E. F. Wood, and M. Liang, 2014: Integrating weather and climate prediction: toward seamless hydrologic forecasting. Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 5891–5896, doi:10.1002/2014GL061076

25. Hejazi, M., X. Cai, X. Yuan, X.-Z. Liang, and P. Kumar, 2014: Incorporating reanalysis-based short-term forecasts from a regional climate model in an irrigation scheduling optimization problem. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 140(5), 699-713, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000365

24. Kam, J., J. Sheffield, X. Yuan, and E. F. Wood, 2014: Did a skillful prediction of sea surface temperatures help or hinder forecasting of the 2012 Midwestern US drought? Environmental Research Letters, 9, 034005, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/3/034005

23. Sheffield, J., E. F. Wood, N. Chaney, K. Guan, S. Sadri, X. Yuan, L. Olang, A. Amani, A. Ali, S. Demuth, and L. Ogallo, 2014: A Drought Monitoring and Forecasting System for Sub-Sahara African Water Resources and Food Security. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95, 861-882, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00124.1

22. Yang, L., F. Tian, Y. Sun, X. Yuan, and H. Hu, 2014: Attribution of hydrologic forecast uncertainty within scalable forecast windows. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18, 775-786, doi:10.5194/hess-18-775-2014

21. Ye, A., Q. Duan, X. Yuan, E. F. Wood, and J. Schaake, 2014: Hydrologic post-processing of MOPEX streamflow simulations. Journal of Hydrology, 508, 147-156, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.10.055

20. Yuan, X.*, E. F. Wood, J. K. Roundy, and M. Pan, 2013: CFSv2-based seasonal hydroclimatic forecasts over the conterminous United States. Journal of Climate, 26, 4828-4847, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00683.1

19. Yuan, X.*, and E. F. Wood, 2013: Multimodel seasonal forecasting of global drought onset. Geophysical Research Letters, 40(18), 4900-4905, doi:10.1002/grl.50949

18. Yuan, X.*, E. F. Wood, N. W. Chaney, J. Sheffield, J. Kam, M. Liang, and K. Guan, 2013: Probabilistic Seasonal Forecasting of African Drought by Dynamical Models. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 14, 1706-1720, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-13-054.1

17. Kam, J., J. Sheffield, X. Yuan, and E. F. Wood, 2013: The influence of Atlantic Tropical Cyclones on Drought over the Eastern United States (1980-2007). Journal of Climate, 26, 3067-3086, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00244.1

16. Pan, M., X. Yuan, and E. F. Wood, 2013: A Probabilistic Framework for Assessing Drought Recovery. Geophysical Research Letters, 40(14), 3637-3642, doi:10.1002/grl.50728

15. Qin, P., Z. Xie, and X. Yuan, 2013: Incorporating groundwater dynamics and surface/subsurface runoff mechanisms in regional climate modeling over river basins in China. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 30, 983-996, doi:10.1007/s00376-012-2095-7

14. Yuan, X.*, and E. F. Wood, 2012: Downscaling precipitation or bias-correcting streamflow? Some implications for coupled general circulation model (CGCM)-based ensemble seasonal hydrologic forecast. Water Resources Research, 48(12), W12519, doi:10.1029/2012WR012256

13. Yuan, X.*, X.-Z. Liang, and E.F. Wood, 2012: WRF ensemble downscaling seasonal forecasts of China winter precipitation during 1982-2008. Climate Dynamics, 39, 2041-2058, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1241-8

12. Yuan, X.*, and E. F. Wood, 2012: On the clustering of climate models in ensemble seasonal forecasting. Geophysical Research Letters, 39(18), L18701, doi:10.1029/2012GL052735

11. Liang, X.-Z., M. Xu, X. Yuan, T. Ling, H.I. Choi, F. Zhang, L. Chen, S. Liu, S. Su, F. Qiao, Y. He, J.X.L. Wang, K.E. Kunkel, W.Gao, E. Joseph, V. Morris, T.-W. Yu, J. Dudhia, and J. Michalakes, 2012: Regional Climate-Weather Research and Forecasting Model. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93, 1363-1387, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00180.1

10. Yuan, X.*, E. F. Wood, L. Luo, and M. Pan, 2011: A first look at Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) for hydrological seasonal prediction. Geophysical Research Letters, 38(13), L13402, doi:10.1029/2011GL047792

9. Yuan, X., and X.-Z. Liang, 2011: Improving cold season precipitation prediction by the nested CWRF-CFS system. Geophysical Research Letters, 38(2), L02706, doi:10.1029/2010GL046104

8. Yuan, X., and X.-Z. Liang, 2011: Evaluation of a Conjunctive Surface-Subsurface Process Model (CSSP) over the contiguous United States at regional-local scales. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12, 579-599, doi:10.1175/2010JHM1302.1

7. Di, Z., Z. Xie, X. Yuan, X. Tian, Z. Luo, and Y. Chen, 2011: Prediction of water table depths under soil water-groundwater interaction and stream water conveyance. Science China-Earth Sciences, 54, 420-430, doi:10.1007/s11430-010-4050-8

6. Xie, Z., and X. Yuan, 2010: Prediction of water table under stream-aquifer interactions over an arid region. Hydrological Processes, 24, 160-169, doi:10.1002/hyp.7434

5. Yuan, X., Z. Xie, and M. Liang, 2009: Sensitivity of regionalized transfer function noise models to the input and parameter transfer method. Hydrological Sciences Journal-Journal des Sciences Hydrologiques, 54, 639-651, doi:10.1623/hysj.54.3.639

4. 郑婧, 谢正辉, 戴永久, 袁星, 毕训强. 陆面过程模型CoLM与区域气候模式RegCM3的耦合及初步评估. 大气科学, 2009, 33(4):737-750.

3. 谢正辉, 梁妙玲, 袁星, 陈锋, 刘春蓁, 刘志雨. 黄淮海平原浅层地下水埋深对气候变化响应. 水文, 2009, 29(1): 30-35.

2. Yuan, X., Z. Xie, J. Zheng, X. Tian and Z.-L. Yang, 2008: Effects of water table dynamics on regional climate: A case study over east Asian monsoon area. Journal of Geophysical Research, 113, D21112, doi:10.1029/2008JD010180

1. Yuan, X., Z. Xie, and M. Liang, 2008: Spatiotemporal prediction of shallow water table depths in continental China. Water Resources Research, 44, W04414, doi:10.1029/2006WR005453

教育经历

[1] 2005.9-2008.12
中国科学院大气物理研究所 | 气象学 | 博士研究生毕业 | 理学博士
[2] 2000.9-2004.6
湖南大学 | 信息与计算科学 | 大学本科 | 理学学士

工作经历

[1] 2018.10-至今
水文与水资源工程学院 | 南京信息工程大学  | 教授、博导 
[2] 2014.7-2018.10
中科院东亚区域气候-环境重点实验室 | 中国科学院大气物理研究所  | 研究员、博导 
[3] 2011.3-2014.7
土木环境工程系 | 美国普林斯顿大学  | Associate Climate Specialist 
[4] 2009.1-2011.2
水文研究所 | 美国伊利诺伊大学香槟分校  | Climate Modeler 

研究方向

[1]气候变化与水循环
[2]高分辨率陆面模式研发
[3]水文气象集合预测
[4]极端水旱事件归因

社会兼职

[1]2022.3-至今
Associate Editor, Frontiers in Environmental Science
[2]2020.1-至今
Associate Editor, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
[3]2019.11-至今
Editorial Board, Hydrology Research
[4]2018.6-至今
Editor, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

团队成员