- 基本信息
- 个人简介
- 近期主要论著
- 近期科研项目
-
姓 名: 朱志伟
职 称: 教授
邮 箱: zwz@nuist.edu.cn & zhiweizh@hawaii.edu
主讲课程: 中国天气、动力气象学、气象科学绘图
研究方向: 气候动力学、东亚季风、天气气候预测
从事气候动力学、东亚夏季风变异机理、极端天气气候预测领域研究。主要创新成果包括：1）发现了驱动东亚夏季风多尺度变率的热带海表温度及对流异常强迫的洋盆转移现象，提出了“局地非耦合-全洋盆耦合”的海气过程影响东亚夏季风的新视角，阐明了大西洋独立驱动季风环流主模态的物理机制；2）探究了汛期极端旱涝中高纬普适性因子的影响过程，揭示了北半球下垫面强迫/大气模态和热带海表温度/对流的协同驱动机理，解析了东亚夏季风次季节和年际变异三维物理图像；3）厘清了梅雨降水30-90天耦合型和10-30天非耦合型高低层关键环流配置的次季节变率可预报性来源，发掘了持续性和倾向性下垫面强迫的极端天气气候年际变率可预报性来源；4）基于时空依赖的可预报性来源，研制了一系列基于下垫面强迫机制的季节预测模型（PEM）和基于大气环流映射的次季节预测模型（STPM），成功应用于国家气候中心等业务单位，服务国家防灾减灾。
目前共发表学术论文120余篇，其中以第一/通讯作者在Nature Communications、BAMS、npj. CAS、Journal of Climate等期刊发表SCI论文60余篇，5篇入选ESI高被引、2篇入选AGU编辑精选专栏报道，总引用2900余次；担任WMO气候监测与评估专家组成员，IAMAS中委会委员，BAMS全球气候报告亚洲区域召集人，副热带气象专业委员会副主任委员等国内外学术兼职。
学术兼职:
世界气象组织气候监测与评估专家组成员（WMO, ET-CMA）（2020-2024）；
国际气象学与大气科学协会中委会（CNC-IAMAS）委员（2024-2027）；
中国气象学会副热带气象专业委员会副主任委员（2025-2029）；
中国气象学会统计气象学与气候预测专业委员会委员（2025-2029）；
中国气象学会气候与气候资源专业委员会委员（2025-2029）；
中国气象学会青年科学家论坛执行主席（2018-2022）；天津市气候中心指导专家（2019-2022）；
《Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society》全球气候报告亚洲区域召集人（2021-）；
《Journal of Meteorological Research》《气象学报》编委（2025-）；《高原气象》青年编委（2023-2027）；
Nature, The Lancet Planetary Health, Nature Water, National Science Review, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Journal of Climate, Geophysical Research Letters, Climate Dynamics, Journal of Geophysical Research等期刊审稿人
荣誉获奖:
2024 江苏省气象学会气象科技成果奖一等奖（5/9）江淮梅雨多尺度特征机理及递进式预报技术应用
2022 《大气科学学报》优秀审稿人
2022 《Journal of Meteorological Research》Reviewer Award
2022 南京信息工程大学本科毕业设计（论文）优秀指导教师
2021 《大气科学学报》优秀审稿人
2021 南京信息工程大学本科毕业设计（论文）优秀指导教师
2020 国家重大人才计划B类青年拔尖人才
2020 南京信息工程大学2019-2020学年优秀班主任
2020 天津市科学技术进步奖二等奖（2/8）华北夏季降水气候监测预测技术与应用研究
2020 江苏省优秀本科毕业设计（论文）团队指导教师（4/4）
2020 《Journal of Meteorological Research》Reviewer Award
2019 江苏省重大人才工程B类特聘教授
2019 南京信息工程大学青年五四奖章
2019 南京信息工程大学工会积极分子
2018 中国科协第四届青年人才托举工程
2016 江苏省优秀博士学位论文
2013 博士研究生国家奖学金
2012 博士研究生国家奖学金
2012 中国气象学会年会优秀论文
ResearchGate: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Zhiwei_Zhu8
GoogleScholar: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=m-fuwkEAAAAJ&hl=en
*为通讯作者 #为所带学生
2025 & in press
125. Zhu Z.*, Y. Jiang#, J. Li, A. Turner. 2025: Stronger influence of the tropical Atlantic on interannual variability of Northern Hemisphere land monsoon rainfall since mid-1990s. J. Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0459.1.
124. Fu S.#, Z. Zhu*, H. Yu, T. Li. 2025: The diversity of the boreal spring North Atlantic sea surface temperature tripole pattern and corresponding Northern Hemispheric surface air temperature anomalies. Environ. Res. Lett., 20, 054043. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/adca47.
123. Huang H.#, Z. Zhu*, Q. Ma, S. Hu, L. Wang. 2025: Two oceanic origins for the record-breaking extreme high temperature event over northern China in October 2023. Clim. Dyn., 63, 166. doi: 10.1007/s00382-025-07649-0.
122. Zhu Z.*, L. Shao#, R. Lu#, W. Hua. 2025: Two contrasting tropical convection modes from the eastern Pacific to northern Africa that drive Eurasian teleconnections in boreal summer. npj. Clim. Atmos. Sci., 8, 56. doi: 10.1038/s41612-025-00944-x.
121. Zhu Z.*, Y. Yang#, B. Liu. 2025: Physics-based seasonal predictions of the month-by-month summer western North Pacific anomalous anticyclone. J. Climate, 38(10), 2187-2203. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0340.1.
2024
120. Fang Z.#, X. Sun, X. Yang, Z. Zhu. 2024: Interdecadal variations in the spatial pattern of the Arctic Oscillation Arctic center in wintertime. Geophys. Res. Lett. 51(22), e2024GL111380. doi: 10.1029/2024GL111380.
119. Lu R.#, Z. Zhu*, S. Yeh, L. Shao#. 2024: Basin shift of the tropical convection in controlling the Western China Autumn Rainfall. Clim. Dyn., 62(12), 10621-10633. doi: 10.1007/s00382-024-07466-x.
118. Zhu Z.*, R. Lu#, B. Yu, T. Li, S. Yeh. 2024: A moderator of tropical impacts on climate in Canadian Arctic Archipelago. Nat. Commun., 15, 8644. doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-53056-0.
117. Arguez, A., P. Bissolli, C. Ganter, R. Martinez, A. Mekonnen, L. Stevens, Z. Zhu, Eds., 2024: Regional Climates [in “State of the Climate in 2023”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 105(8), S371-S484. doi: 10.1175/2024BAMSStateoftheClimate_Chapter7.1.
116. Zhu Z., H. Huang#, K. Takahashi, K. Takemura. 2024: Record-breaking high temperatures over the North China in October 2023 [in “State of the Climate in 2023”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 105(8), S456-S458. doi: 10.1175/2024BAMSStateoftheClimate_Chapter7.1.
115. Liu X.#, Z. Zhu*. K. Takemura, Y-M. Yang. 2024: Counteracting impacts of the ENSO and Aleutian Low on winter surface air temperature anomalies over the Japan Sea Rim region. J. Climate, 37(22), 5739-5750. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0136.1. (AMS Editor's Highlights)
114. Sun Y., Q. Ma, T. Feng, Z. Qian, Z. Zhu, C. Li, G. Feng. 2024: Concurrent extremes in mid-latitude Asia triggered by resonance of multi-scale zonal wind. Environ. Res. Lett., 19, 094016. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad6918.
113. Ma Q., Y. Sun, R. Hu, Z. Zhu, K. Xiong, H. Wu, P. Yan, G. Feng. 2024: Multi-scale interaction underlying the 2022 concurrent extreme precipitation in Pakistan and mega heatwave in Yangtze River Valley. npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 7, 177. doi:10.1038/s41612-024-00725-y.
112. Lei H., Q. Ma, Y. Chang, Y. Gu, S. Wan, Z. Zhu, G. Feng. 2024: Multiscale interactions driving summer extreme precipitation in Central Asia. Geophys. Res. Lett., 51(12), e2024GL108882. doi: 10.1029/2024GL108882.
111. Yao M.#, J. Li, C. Zheng#, M. Yao#, Z. Zhu. 2024: How predictable is the anomaly pattern of summer extreme high-temperature days over Central Asia? Clim. Dyn., 62(7), 7651-7664. doi: 10.1007/s00382-024-07299-8.
110. 李娟, 王诚#, 徐邦琪, 朱志伟. 2024:中国东部夏季季节内降水异常的经向移动分类及可能机理. 大气科学. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2402.23144.
109. Mao J.#, Z. Zhu*. 2024: Change of boreal winter dominant ENSO teleconnection modulated by the East Asian westerly jet strength. Clim. Dyn., 62(7), 6985-7000. doi: 10.1007/s00382-024-07261-8.
108. 李琳菲#, 杨颖#, 朱志伟, 王蔚. 2024:梅雨降水季节预测的多方法比较. 大气科学学报. 47(2), 313-329. doi: 10.13878/j.cnki.dqkxxb.20231225016.
107. Sun Y.#, Z. Zhu*. Y. Yang#, R. Lu#. 2024: Decadal change in the connection between the Pacific–Japan pattern and the Indian Ocean SST basin mode. Clim. Dyn., 62(5), 4281-4296. doi: 10.1007/s00382-024-07132-2.
106. 张诚#, 朱志伟*,钟珊珊, 蒋薇. 2024:中国汛期雨带的客观划分及其相关环流特征. 气象科学. 44(1), 12-24. doi: 10.12306/2023jms.0075.
105. 刘嘉锡#, 朱志伟*, 卢睿#, 李娟. 2024:ENSO循环海表温度演变多样性的客观分类. 高原气象. 43(6), 1433-1447. doi: 10.7522/i.issn.1000-0534.2024.00026.
104. Miao L., L. Ju, S. Sun, E. Agathokleous, Q. Wang, Z. Zhu, R. Liu, Y. Zou, Y. Lu, Q. Liu. 2024: Unveiling the dynamics of sequential extreme precipitation-heatwave compounds in China. npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 7, 67. doi: 10.1038/s41612-024-00613-5. (ESI高被引)
103. Yang S., Q. Xu, Z. Zhu, Y. Qi. 2024: Interannual variability of mid-high-latitude intraseasonal oscillation intensity at the Southern Hemisphere during austral summer. Clim. Dyn., 62(5), 3859-3876. doi: 10.1007/s00382-024-07103-7.
102. Xiang Y.#, J. Li, B. Wang, L. Ma, Z. Zhu. 2024: MJO structure-propagation nexus and impacts of background mean states in CMIP6 models. J. Climate, 37(6), 2035-2058. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0348.1.
101. Yang S., Y. Liu, Z. Zhu, Y. Qi. 2024: Influence of the mid-high-latitude Eurasian ISO on PM2.5 concentration anomaly in North China during boreal winter. Clim. Dyn., 62(3), 2455-2474. doi: 10.1007/s00382-023-07033-w.
100. Long J., Z. Lu, P. Miller, J. Pongratz, D. Guan, B. Smith, Z. Zhu, J. Xu, Q. Zhang. 2024: Large-scale photovoltaic solar farms in the Sahara affect solar power generation potential globally. Commun. Earth Environ., 5, 11. doi: 10.1038/s43247-023-01117-5. (新闻报道 The Conversation)
99. Huang H.#, Z. Zhu*. J. Li. 2024: Disentangling the unprecedented Yangtze River Basin extreme high temperatures in summer 2022: Combined impacts of the re-intensified La Niña and strong positive NAO. J. Climate, 37(3), 927-942. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0466.1. (ESI高被引)
98. Zhu Z.*, J. Wu#. H. Huang#. 2024: The influence of 10–30-day boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation on the forecast skill of extreme rainfall over southern China. Clim. Dyn., 62(1), 69-86. doi: 10.1007/s00382-023-06900-w.
2023
97. Tan H.#, Z. Zhu*, L. Miao, J. Long. 2023: Winter cloudy days will diminish over China under global warming. Earth’s Future, 11, e2023EF004030. doi: 10.1029/2023EF004030. (新闻报道 中国气象局官网) (AGU Editor's Highlights)
96. Li Y., K. Xu, Z. Wu, Z. Zhu, Q. Wang. 2023: A statistical-dynamical approach for probabilistic prediction of sub-seasonal precipitation anomalies over 17 hydroclimatic regions in China. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27(22), 4187-4203. doi: 10.5194/hess-27-4187-2023.
95. Shang W., K. Duan, Z. Zhu, X. Ren, P. Shi, T. Meng. 2023: Dynamic controls of the interannual and interdecadal variations of the freezing level height over the Tibetan Plateau. Atmos. Res., 295. 107013. doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.107013.
94. Zhu Z., H. Huang#, H. Chen, K. Takemura, K. Takahashi. 2023: The record-breaking hot summer of 2022 in Yangtze River basin [in “State of the Climate in 2022”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104(9), S443-S444. doi: 10.1175/2023BAMSStateoftheClimate_Chapter7.1.(BAMS 封面文章)
93. Bissolli, P., C. Ganter, A. Mekonnen, A. Sánchez-Lugo, and Z. Zhu, Eds., 2023: Regional Climates [in “State of the Climate in 2022”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104(9), S366-S473. doi: 10.1175/2023BAMSStateoftheClimate_Chapter7.1.
92. Liu X.#, Z. Zhu*, R. Lu#, Z. Miao, W. Li, P-C. Hsu. 2023: Unprecedented July rainfall in North China in 2021: Combined effect of Atlantic warming and Arctic sea-ice loss. JGR: Atmos., 128(17), e2022JD038068. doi: 10.1029/2022JD038068. (AGU Editor's Highlights)
91. Jiang Y.#, J. Li, B. Wang, Y-M. Yang, Z. Zhu*. 2023: Weakening of decadal variation of Northern Hemisphere land monsoon rainfall under global warming. npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 6, 115. doi: 10.1038/s41612-023-00441-z.
90. Jiang Y.#, Z. Zhu*, J. Li, L. Miao, Z. Miao. 2023: Changes of mean and extreme precipitation and their relationship in Northern Hemisphere land monsoon domain under global warming. Int. J. Climato., 43(12), 5536-5552. doi:10.1002/joc.8159.
89. Zhu Z.*, Zhou Y.#, W. Jiang, S. Fu#, P-C. Hsu. 2023: Influence of compound zonal displacements of the South Asia high and the western Pacific subtropical high on Meiyu intraseasonal variation. Clim. Dyn., 61(7), 3309-3325. doi: 10.1007/s00382-023-06726-6.
88. Zhu Z.*, Y. Feng#, W. Jiang, R. Lu#, Y. Yang#. 2023: The compound impacts of sea surface temperature modes in the Indian and North Atlantic oceans on the extreme precipitation days in the Yangtze River Basin. Clim. Dyn., 61(7), 3327-3341. doi: 10.1007/s00382-023-06733-7.
87. Li J., C. Zheng#, Y. Yang#, R. Lu#, Z. Zhu*. 2023: Predictability of spatial distribution of pre-summer extreme precipitation days over southern China revealed by the physical-based empirical model. Clim. Dyn., 61(5), 2299-2316. doi: 10.1007/s00382-023-06681-2.
86. Wei Y., H. Yu, S. Li, Z. Zhu, Y. Yang, Y. Ren, C. Liu, J. Zhou. 2023: Impact of north Indian atmospheric diabatic heating on summer precipitation in Central Asia. J. Climate, 36(13), 4345-4362. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0928.1.
85. Zhu Z., P.-C. Hsu, R. Zhan, L. Zhang, B. Yu, Eds., 2023: Origins and predictability of the intraseasonal to interannual variabilities of regional climate. Front. Earth Sci., doi: 10.3389/978-2-83251-148-0.
84. Chen H., Z. Xu, Y. Jiang#, Z. Zhu*. 2023: Change of the wintertime multidecadal land precipitation variability in the mid-1970s in the observation and CMIP6 simulations. Int. J. Climato., 43(6), 2667-2677. doi:10.1002/joc.7995.
83. Zhou Z.#, J. Li, H. Chen, Z. Zhu. 2023: Seasonal prediction of extreme high temperature days in southwestern China based on physical precursors. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 40(7), 1212-1224. doi: 10.1007/s00376-022-2075-5.
82. Hsu P-C., J. Xie, J. Lee, Z. Zhu, Y. Li, B. Chen, S. Zhang. 2023: Multiscale interactions between seasonal-mean state, intraseasonal oscillation and synoptic disturbances driving the devastating floods in China’s Henan Province in July 2021. Weather and Climate Extremes, 39, 100541. doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100541.
81. Lu T.#, Z. Zhu*, Y. Yang#, J. Ma, G. Huang. 2023: Formation mechanism of the ENSO-independent summer western North Pacific anomalous anticyclone. J. Climate, 36(6), 1711-1726. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0271.1
80. Fu S.#, Z. Zhu*, R. Lu#. 2023: Changes in the factors controlling Northeast Asian spring surface air temperature in the past 60 years. Clim. Dyn., 61(1), 169-183. doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06569-7.
79. Yang Y.#, Z. Zhu*, X. Shen, L. Jiang, T. Li. 2023: The influences of Atlantic sea surface temperature anomalies on the ENSO-independent interannual variability of East Asian summer monsoon rainfall. J. Climate, 36(2), 677-691. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0061.1. (ESI高被引)
78. 谭辉#, 朱志伟*, 蒋薇, 郝立生, 李琳菲#. 2023:基于热带和热带外独立影响途径的中国东部冬季阴天日数的季节预测. 大气科学, 47(3), 683-697. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2111.21117.
77. Wu J.#, J. Li, Z. Zhu, P-C. Hsu. 2023: Factors determining the subseasonal prediction skill of summer extreme rainfall over southern China. Clim. Dyn., 60(1), 443-460. doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06326-w.
76. Zhu Z.*, R. Lu#, S. Fu#, H. Chen. 2023: Alternation of the atmospheric teleconnections associated with the Northeast China spring rainfall during a recent 60-years period. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 40(1), 168-176. doi: 10.1007/s00376-022-2024-3. (新闻报道 EurekAlert)
75. 姚梦莹#, 朱志伟*, 卢睿#, 姚俊强. 2023:中国西北5月和9月地表气温的年际变率机理及其预测. 大气科学, 47(2), 343-358. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2111.21124.
74. 张可越#, 李娟, 徐邦琪, 朱志伟. 2023:中国南方降水及其极端事件的动力-统计相结合的延伸期预报. 气象学报, 81(1), 79-93. doi: 10.11676/qxxb2023.20220061.
2022
73. Zhang P., Z. Wu, Z. Zhu, R. Jin. 2022: Promoting seasonal prediction capability of the early autumn tropical cyclone formation frequency over the western North Pacific: effect of Arctic sea ice. Environ. Res. Lett., 17(12), 124012. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aca2c0.
72. Zhu Z., X. Liu#, R. Lu#, S. Wakamatsu, K. Takahashi. 2022: Unprecedented extreme rainfall over East Asia in July and August 2021 [in “State of the Climate in 2021”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103(8), S423-S424. doi: 10.1175/2022BAMSStateoftheClimate_Chapter7.1.
71. Bissolli, P., C. Ganter, A. Mekonnen, A. Sánchez-Lugo, and Z. Zhu, Eds., 2022: Regional Climates [in “State of the Climate in 2021”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103(8), S341-S453. doi: 10.1175/2022BAMSStateoftheClimate_Chapter7.1.
70. Wang W., T. Li, F. Xin, Z. Zhu. 2022: An objective method defining the Meiyu onset in lower reach of Yangtze River basin. J. Meteorol. Res., 36(6), 841-852. doi: 10.1007/s13351-022-2069-3.
69. Yang Y-M, J-H. Park, S-I. An, S-W. Yeh, Z. Zhu, F. Liu, J. Li, J-Y. Lee, B. Wang. 2022: Increased Indian Ocean-North Atlantic Ocean warming chain under greenhouse warming. Nat. Commun., 13, 3978. doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-31676-8.
68. Long Y.#, J. Li, Z. Zhu, J. Zhang. 2022: Predictability of the anomaly pattern of summer extreme high-temperature days over southern China. Clim. Dyn., 59(4), 1027-1041. doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06170-y.
67. Qian Y., P-C. Hsu, J. Yuan, Z. Zhu, H. Wang, M. Duan. 2022: Effects of subseasonal variation in the East Asian monsoon system on the summertime heat wave in western North America in 2021. Geophys. Res. Lett. 49(8), e2021GL097659. doi:10.1029/2021GL097659.
66. Hamadalnel M.#, Z. Zhu, A. Gaber, V. Iyakaremye, B. Ayugi. 2022: Possible changes in Sudan's future precipitation under the high and medium emission scenarios based on bias adjusted GCMs. Atmos. Res., 269, 106036. doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106036.
65. Hamadalnel M.#, Z. Zhu, R. Lu#, M. Almazroui, S. Shahid. 2022: Evaluating the aptitude of GCMs from CMIP5 and CMIP6 in capturing the historical observations of monsoon rainfall over Sudan from 1946-2005. Int. J. Climato., 42(5), 2717-2738. doi: 10.1002/joc.7387.
64. Chen H., E. Schneider, Z. Zhu*. 2022: Internal atmospheric variability of net surface heat flux in reanalyses and CMIP5 AMIP simulations. Int. J. Climato., 42(1), 63-80. doi: 10.1002/joc.7232.
2021
63. 卢睿#, 朱志伟*, 李天明, 潘晓, 江叶艳#, 陆雅君. 2021:淮河流域夏季极端降水频次空间分布的客观分类及其形成机理. 大气科学, 45(6), 1415-1432.
62. Pan X., T. Li, Y. Sun, Z. Zhu. 2021: Cause of extreme heavy and persistent rainfall over Yangtze River in summer 2020. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 38(12), 1980-1993. doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-0433-3.(AAS最佳原创论文奖)
61. Wang W., F. Xin, X. Pan, T. Li, H. Sato, Z. Zhu. 2021: Extreme floods along the Meiyu/Baiu/Changma front in summer 2020 [in “State of the Climate in 2020”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102(8), S435-S436. doi:10.1175/2021BAMSStateoftheClimate.1.
60. Li T., Z. Zhu, P. Zhang, T. C. Lee, Supari, M. Hanafusa, H. Sato, S. Wakamatsu, G. S. Im, D. Dulamsuren, A. Moise, M-V. Khiem, and H-P. Lam. 2021: Regional climates, Asia overview [in “State of the Climate in 2020”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102(8), S425-S428. doi:10.1175/2021BAMSStateoftheClimate.1.
59. Zhang K., J. Li, Z. Zhu, T. Li. 2021: Implications from subseasonal prediction skills of the prolonged heavy snow event over southern China in early 2008. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 38(11), 1873-1888. doi: 10.1007/s00376-021-0402-x.
58. Hamadalnel M.#, Z. Zhu, R. Lu#, S. Shahid, M. Ali, I. Abdalla, M. Elkanzi, M. Bilal, M. Bleiweiss. 2021: Spatio-temporal investigations of monsoon precipitation and its historical and future trend over Sudan. Earth Systems and Environ., 5(3), 519-529. doi: 10.1007/s41748-021-00236-3.
57. 饶晨泓#,陈光华,陈可鑫,朱志伟.2021:最佳子集多元线性回归模型在热带气旋风圈变化预报中的应用.气候与环境研究,26(1), 115-122.
56. Yan H., Z. Zhu*, B. Wang, K. Zhang, J. Luo, Y. Qian, Y. Jiang. 2021: Tropical African wildfire aerosols trigger teleconnections over mid-to-high latitudes of Northern Hemisphere in January. Environ. Res. Lett., 16, 034025. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/abe433.
55. Yan H., X. Pan, Z. Zhu*, R. Lu#, L. Li#, H. Tan#. 2021: The two leading modes of winter clear-sky days over China and their formation mechanisms. Clim. Dyn., 56(1), 189-205. doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05470-5.
2020
54. Pan X., Z. Zhu*, T. Li. 2020: Forecasts of ENSO evolution using spatial-temporal projection model. Int. J. Climato., 40(15), 6301-6314. doi: 10.1002/joc.6581.
53. Zhu Z.*, R. Lu#, H. Yan, W. Li, T. Li, J. He. 2020: Dynamic origin of the interannual variability of West China Autumn Rainfall. J. Climate, 33(22), 9643-9652. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0097.1.
52. 何金海,徐海明,王黎娟,祁莉,朱志伟,马静,罗京佳.2020:南京信息工程大学季风研究若干重要进展回顾--明德格物一甲子,科教融合六十载.大气科学学报,43(5), 768-784.
51. Li T., Z. Zhu, P. Zhang, T. C. Lee, I. Gustari, Y. Mochizuki, C.-W. Choi, L. Oyunjargal, A. Moise, M.-V. Khiem, and H.-P. Lam. 2020: Regional climates, Asia overview [in “State of the Climate in 2019”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101(8), S382–S385.doi: 10.1175/2020BAMSStateoftheClimate.1.
50. Wang J.#, Y. Liu, Y. Ding, P. Wu, Z. Zhu, Y Xu, Q. Li, Y. Zhang, J. He, X. Wang, L. Qi. 2020: Impacts of climate anomalies on the interannual and interdecadal variability of autumn and winter haze in North China: A review. Int. J. Climato., 40(10), 4309-4325. doi: 10.1002/joc.6471.
49. Li J., Yang Y.#, Z. Zhu*. 2020: Application of MJO dynamics-oriented diagnostics to CMIP5 Models. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 141(2), 673-684. doi: 10.1007/s00704-020-03185-5.
48. 李娟,闫会平,朱志伟*. 2020:中国夏季极端气温和降水事件日数随平均气温变化的定量分析.高原气象,39(3), 532-542.
47. Li W., B. Qiu, W. Guo, Z. Zhu, P. Hsu. 2020: Intraseasonal variability of Tibetan Plateau snow cover. Int. J. Climato., 40(7), 3451-3466. doi: 10.1002/joc.6407.
46. 徐邦琪,臧钰歆,朱志伟,李天明.2020:时空投影模型（STPM）的次季节至季节（S2S）预测应用进展.大气科学学报,43(1), 212-224.
45. Zhong S., Q. Jia, Z. Zhu, X. Zhang. 2020: Two propagation pathways of the boreal summer quasi-biweekly oscillation of the atmospheric heat source over the Tibetan Plateau. Atmosphere-Ocean, 58(1), 60-78. doi: 10.1080/07055900.2020.1730297.
44. Yang Y.#, Z. Zhu*, T. Li, M. Yao#. 2020: Effects of the western Pacific intraseasonal convection on the surface air temperature anomalies over North America. Int. J. Climato., 40(6), 2913-2923. doi:10.1002/joc.6373.
43. Chang Y., J. Wang#, Z. Zhu*, H. Deng, J. He, R. Lu#. 2020: A salient oceanic driver for the interannual variability of wintertime haze days over the Pearl River Delta region, China. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 140(1), 739-750. doi: 10.1007/s00704-020-03111-9.
42. Lu R.#, Z. Zhu*, T. Li, H. Zhang#. 2020: Interannual and interdecadal variabilities of spring rainfall over northeast China and their associated sea surface temperature anomaly forcings. J. Climate, 33(4), 1423-1435. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0302.1.
2019
41. Wang X., Y. Chang, Z. Zhu. 2019: Interdecadal change in the relationship between South China spring rainfall and preceding-summer warm pool ocean heat content. J. Trop. Meteor., 25(4), 462-470. doi: 10.16555/j.1006-8775.2019.04.004.
40. Li T., Z. Zhu, P. Zhang, T. C. Lee, A. Ripaldi, Y. Mochizuki, J. Lim, L. Oyunjargal, and B. Timbal. 2019: Regional climates, Asia overview [in “State of the Climate in 2018”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100(9), S230-232. doi:10.1175/2019BAMSStateoftheClimate.1.
39. Zhu Z., T. Li, A. Shimpo. 2019: The weakest East Asian Summer monsoon during the past 40 years [in “State of the Climate in 2018”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100(9), S238-239. doi:10.1175/2019BAMSStateoftheClimate.1.
38. Ma L., Z. Zhu*, J. Li, J. Cao. 2019: Improving the simulation of the climatology of the East Asian summer monsoon by coupling the Stochastic Multicloud Model to the ECHAM6.3 atmosphere model. Clim. Dyn., 53(4), 2061-2081. doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04787-0.
37. Chen S., Z. Zhu*, Z. Ge, Z. Kang, J. He. 2019: The diversity of La Niña decay and the corresponding spring and summer precipitation anomalies over eastern China. Int. J. Climato., 39, 3396-3411. doi: 10.1002/joc.6100.
36. Yang S., Z. Zhu*, J. Cui, Y. Yang#. 2019: Regulation of the intraseasonal oscillation over mid-high latitude Eurasia on winter surface air temperature over China. Dyn. of Atmos. and Oceans, 86, 63-72. doi: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2019.03.003.
35. Chen H., D. He, Z. Zhu. 2019: The internal multidecadal variability of SST in the Pacific and its impact on air temperature and rainfall over land in the Northern Hemisphere. Atmos., 10(3), 153. doi:10.3390/atmos10030153.
34. Wang J.#, Z. Zhu*, L. Qi, Q. Zhao, J. He, X. Wang. 2019: Two pathways of how remote SST anomalies drive the interannual variability of autumnal haze days in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region, China. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19(3), 1521-1535. doi: 10.5194/acp-19-1521-2019.
2018
33. Li T., Z. Zhu, P. Zhang, T. C. Lee, Y. Mochizuki, S. E. Lee, L. Oyunjargal, B. Timbal. 2018: Regional climates, Asia overview [in "State of the Climate in 2017"]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99(8), S233-234. doi:10.1175/2018BAMSStateoftheClimate.1. (ESI高被引)
32. Zhu Z., T. Li, H. Togawa. 2018: Abnormal West China Autumn Rainfall in 2017 and persistence of the Pacific–Japan Pattern in August 2017 [in "State of the Climate in 2017"]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99(8), S243-244. doi:10.1175/2018BAMSStateoftheClimate.1.
31. Wang J.#, Q. Zhao, Z. Zhu*, L. Qi, X. Wang. J. He. 2018: Interannual variation in the number and severity of autumnal haze days in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region and associated atmospheric circulation anomalies. Dyn. of Atmos. and Oceans, 84, 1-9. doi: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2018.08.001.
30. Yuan K., Z. Zhu*, M. Li, 2018: A pair of new moisture-dynamic diagnostic parameters for heavy rain location. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 130(3), 325-331. doi: 10.1007/s00703-017-0522-0.
29. Zhu Z.*, T. Li, 2018: Amplified contiguous United States summer rainfall variability induced by East Asian monsoon interdecadal change. Clim. Dyn., 50(9-10), 3523-3536. doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3821-8.
28. 李跃凤,何金海,朱志伟,陈圣劼.2018:中华人民共和国气象行业标准—东亚副热带夏季风监测指标.气象出版社,QX/T 394-2017.
27. Zhu Z.*, T. Li, 2018: Extended-range forecasting of Chinese summer surface air temperature and heat waves. Clim. Dyn., 50(5-6), 2007-2021. doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3733-7.
26. Zhu Z.*, 2018: Breakdown of the relationship between Australian summer rainfall and ENSO caused by tropical Indian Ocean SST warming. J. Climate, 31(6), 2321-2336. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0132.1.
25. Chen Y., Z. Zhu*, L. Luo, J. Zhang, 2018: Severe haze in Hangzhou in winter 2013/14 and associated meteorological anomalies. Dyn. of Atmos. and Oceans, 81, 73-83. doi: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2018.01.002.
2017
24. Zhu Z.*, S. Chen, K. Yuan, Y. Chen, S. Gao, Z. Hua, 2017: Empirical subseasonal predicting summer rainfall anomalies over the middle and lower reaches of Yangtze River basin based on the atmospheric intraseasonal oscillation. Atmos., 8(10), 185. doi:10.3390/atmos8100185.
23. Zhu Z.*, T. Li, L. Bai, J. Gao, 2017: Extended-range forecast for the temporal distribution of clustering tropical cyclogenesis over the western North Pacific. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 130(3), 865-877. doi: 10.1007/s00704-016-1925-4.
22. Li J., Z. Zhu*, W. Dong, 2017: A new mean-extreme vector for the trends of temperature and precipitation over China during 1960–2013. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 129(3), 273-282. doi: 10.1007/s00703-016-0464-y.
21. Zhu Z.*, T. Li, 2017: Statistical extended-range forecast of winter surface air temperature and extremely cold days over China. Q. J. R. Meteor. Soc., 704(143), 1528-1538. doi: 10.1002/qj.3023.
20. Zhu Z., T. Li, 2017: The record-breaking hot summer in 2015 over Hawaiian Islands and its physical causes. J. Climate, 30(11), 4253-4266. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0438.1.
19. Zhu Z., T. Li, 2017: Empirical prediction of the onset dates of South China Sea summer monsoon. Clim. Dyn., 48(5), 1633-1645. doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3164-x.
18. Zhu Z., T. Li, 2017: The statistical extended-range (10–30-day) forecast of summer rainfall anomalies over the entire China. Clim. Dyn., 48(1), 209-224. doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3070-2. (ESI高被引)
17. Li J., Z. Zhu*, W. Dong, 2017: Assessing the uncertainty of CESM-LE in simulating the trends of mean and extreme temperature and precipitation over China. Int. J. Climato., 37(4), 2101-2110. doi: 10.1002/joc.4837.
16. Ren Q., Z. Zhu*, L. Hao, J. He, 2017: The enhanced relationship between Southern China winter rainfall and warm pool ocean heat content. Int. J. Climato., 37(1), 409-419. doi: 10.1002/joc.4714.
2016
15. Zhu Z., T. Li, 2016: A new paradigm for continental U.S. summer rainfall variability: Asia–North America teleconnection. J. Climate, 29(20), 7313-7327. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0137.1.
14. Yu J., T. Li, Z. Tan, Z. Zhu, 2016: Effects of tropical North Atlantic SST on tropical cyclone genesis in the western North Pacific. Clim. Dyn., 46(3), 865-877. doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2618-x.
13. Du Y., T. Li, Z. Xie, Z. Zhu, 2016: Interannual variability of the Asian subtropical westerly jet in boreal summer and associated with circulation and SST anomalies. Clim. Dyn., 46(7), 2673-2688. doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2723-x.
12. Li W., P. Hsu, J. He, Z. Zhu, W. Zhang, 2016: Extended-range forecast of spring rainfall in southern China based on the Madden–Julian Oscillation. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 128(3), 331-345. doi: 10.1007/s00703-015-0418-9.
2015
11. Zhu Z., T. Li, P.-C. Hsu, J. He, 2015: A spatial-temporal projection model for extended-range forecast in the tropics. Clim. Dyn., 45(3), 1085-1098. doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2353-8.
10. He J., Z. Zhu*, 2015: The relation of South China Sea monsoon onset with the subsequent rainfall over the subtropical East Asia. Int. J. Climato., 35(15), 4547-4556. doi: 10.1002/joc.4305.
9. 詹丰兴,何金海,章毅之,朱志伟.2015: 江南雨季地理区域及起止时间的客观确定.海洋学报,37(6), 1-11.
2014
8. Zhu Z., T. Li, J. He, 2014: Out-of-phase relationship between boreal spring and summer decadal rainfall changes in southern China. J. Climate, 27(3), 1083-1099. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00180.1.
2013 & before
7. 朱志伟,何金海,钟珊珊,尚可.2013: 春夏东亚大气环流年代际转折的影响及其可能机理.气象学报,71(3), 440-451.
6. 朱志伟,何金海.2013: 孟加拉湾低涡与南海季风爆发关系及其可能机理.热带气象学报,29(6), 915-923. (期刊下载排行Top5)
5. 尚可,何金海,朱志伟,詹丰兴.2013: 西太平洋暖池区热含量和海表温度与江南春雨的相关性对比研究.地理科学,33(8), 986-992.
4. 朱志伟,何金海.2013: 东亚副热带季风的季节转变特征及其可能机理.热带气象学报,29(2), 245-254.
3. Zhu Z., J. He., L. Qi, 2012: Seasonal transition of East Asian subtropical monsoon and its possible mechanism. J. Trop. Meteor., 18(3), 305-313.
2. 黄海燕,何金海,朱志伟.2012: 大气季节内振荡的研究进展及其在延伸期预报中的应用.气象与减灾研究,34(3), 1-8.
1. 朱志伟,花振飞.2010: 华北地区冬季降水时空分布特征分析.水文,30(4), 84-87.
发明专利
1. 李娟,朱志伟,张可越,徐邦琪.基于低频增量时空耦合的动力统计结合的次季节预测方法. ZL202111097420.2 (2023.5.5)
2. 陈圣劼,王禹,桑小卓,朱志伟. 基于自适应图结构与强化集成的多因子梅雨量预测方法. ZL202311718382.7 (2024.7.9)
3. 陈圣劼,王禹,朱志伟. 一种区分ENSO事件衰减型的判定方法及系统. ZL202310820040.X (2024.8.16)
在研：
2024/01-2027/12 国自然气象联合基金项目(U2342208)长江中下游持续性高温次季节和年际变率热带外强迫影响机理及其预测研究（主持）
2023/01-2027/12 国家重点研发计划重点专项(2022YFF0801702)中纬度海气系统在北极-热带关联中的作用（骨干）
2022/01-2025/12 国家自然科学基金面上项目(42175033)东亚副热带夏季风降水热力强迫的北半球遥相关影响及其机理（主持）
2021/01-2025/12 国家自然科学基金基础科学中心项目(42088101)气候系统预测研究中心（骨干）
2024/04-2025/04 大学生创新创业训练计划项目(202410300176Y)全球变暖背景下中国冬季极端低温频次的时空分布特征及其成因分析（指导）
结题：
2023/06-2024/12 灾害天气国家重点实验室开放课题(2023LASW-B14)长江中下游夏季极端降水的次季节预测研究（主持）
2023/04-2024/04 大学生创新创业训练计划项目(202310300035Z)夏季东北亚地表气温年际变率影响因子的年代际变化及其机理研究（指导）
2020/12-2023/12 国家重大人才计划B类青年拔尖人才（主持）
2022/04-2023/04 大学生创新创业训练计划项目(20221030039Z)中国南方春旱夏涝年相关的海气特征及其机理研究（指导）
2021/01-2022/12 LASG开放课题 夏季西北太平洋反气旋异常年际变率非ENSO影响的可预报性来源（主持）
2019/08-2022/08 江苏省重大人才工程B类特聘教授（主持）
2018/12-2021/12 国家重点研发计划重点专项课题(2018YFC1505803)10-30天极端天气的预报能力评估及可预报性研究（骨干）
2018/12-2021/12 国家重点研发计划重点专项课题(2018YFC1505905)30-90天气候变异信号和影响预测能力的多模式评估（主持）
2020/04-2021/04 大学生创新创业训练计划项目(202010300141)北大西洋不同纬度海表温度与东亚夏季降水关联性的差异及其机理（指导）
2019/11 中日樱花科技计划(SSP20190700027)（参与）
2019/04-2021/04 大学生创新创业训练计划项目(201910300098Y)中国东部冬季阴雨日数时空变率规律及其机理研究（指导）
2019/01-2019/12 南京留学人员科技创新项目择优资助（主持）
2018/12-2020/12 中国科协青年人才托举工程(YESS20180043)大气动力学（主持）
2018/12-2020/12 淮河流域气象开放研究基金(HRM201801)淮河流域极端天气次季节至季节预测研究（主持）
2018/09-2020/09 江苏省科协青年科技人才托举工程（主持）
2018/04-2018/11 江苏省气象台委托项目梅雨锋暴雨关键因子和系统的集合敏感性探讨（主持）
2018/01-2021/01 南京信息工程大学人才启动经费（主持）
2017/01-2019/12 国家自然科学基金青年项目(41605035)东亚季风年际变率振幅的年代际变化及其机理研究（主持）
2012/01-2014/01 江苏普通高校研究生科创项目(CXZZ12_0487)气候变暖背景下季风变异与我国南方旱涝的联系及其机理（主持）
欢迎加入ESCAPE课题组（搜索微信公众号 南信大ESCAPE）
Exploring the Science of Climate (ESC) & Advancing the Prediction of Extremes (APE)
热衷于气候科学未解谜题的破解
致力于极端天气气候预测的提升
课题组毕业学生（*为联合培养）
姓名 | 毕业年份 | 毕业去向 | |
博士 | 汪靖* | 2020 | 天津市气象科学研究所 |
硕士 | Monzer Hamadalnel | 2021 | Omdurman Islamic University |
硕士 | 卢睿 | 2021 | 南信大攻读博士 |
硕士 | 姚梦莹 | 2022 | 乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所 |
硕士 | 龙叶 | 2022 | 贵州省黔西南州气象台 |
硕士 | 吴俊婷 | 2022 | 上海市金山区气象局 |
硕士 | 张可越 | 2022 | 南信大攻读博士 |
硕士 | 付珊珊 | 2023 | 南信大攻读博士 |
硕士 | 冯永宁 | 2023 | 山东电力工程咨询院有限公司 |
硕士 | 周耘逸 | 2023 | 湖北省武汉中心气象台 |
硕士 | 郑嫦珊 | 2023 | 民航厦门空管站 |
硕士 | 王诚 | 2024 | 合肥市气象局 |
硕士 | 刘嘉锡 | 2024 | 芜湖市气象局 |
硕士 | 张诚 | 2024 | 绍兴市气象局 |
硕士 | 李琳菲 | 2024 | 江苏省气象局机关服务中心 |
硕士 | 孙毓 | 2024 | 西安市气象局 |
硕士 | 江叶艳 | 2024 | 南信大攻读博士 |
本科 | 卢童 | 2021 | 推免大气所攻读硕士 |
本科 | 周芷仪 | 2021 | 推免大气所攻读硕士 |
本科 | 姚梦媛 | 2023 | 推免大气所攻读博士 |
本科 | 宋雨轩 | 2024 | 推免北大攻读博士 |
课题组在读学生（*为联合培养）：
博士生：卢睿（赴汉阳大学访问），杨颖（赴夏威夷大学访问），付珊珊，谭辉，江叶艳，刘雪峰，黄红洁
硕士生：毛婧丹，相宇航，邵寮源，袁可芯，屈文达，巨海峰，张林权，宋听洋，李晓洁，赵春旋，李耀辉，胡周昀歆